AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has a slight edge over CRNT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CRNT

Ceragon Networks Ltd.

57
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

CRNT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CRNT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong

CRNT's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

CRNT PE Valuation

CRNT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CRNT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CRNT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CRNT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRNT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$2.99
Downside-20%$1.91

Calculated from the latest close: $2.38 on Nov 12.

CRNT trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

CRNT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.05Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.12Q3 2024: $0.22Q4 2024: $0.27Q1 2025: $0.26Q2 2025: $0.16Q3 2025: $0.02Q4 2025: $-0.02Q1 2026: $-0.03Q2 2026: $-0.04Forward: $0.14
Q3 2023: $0.05Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.12Q3 2024: $0.22Q4 2024: $0.27Q1 2025: $0.26Q2 2025: $0.16Q3 2025: $0.02Q4 2025: $-0.02Q1 2026: $-0.03Q2 2026: $-0.04Forward: $0.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.14—
Q2 2026-$0.04-125%
Q1 2026-$0.03-112%
Q4 2025-$0.02-107%
Q3 2025$0.02-91%
Q2 2025$0.16+33%
Q1 2025$0.26+420%
Q4 2024$0.27+286%
Q3 2024$0.22+340%

CRNT has swung to a loss: it lost $0.04 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over CRNT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRNT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $87MQ4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $107MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $82MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $94M
Q3 2023: $87MQ4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $96MQ3 2024: $103MQ4 2024: $107MQ1 2025: $89MQ2 2025: $82MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $94M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$93.9M+14%
Q1 2026$85M-4.1%
Q4 2025$82.3M-23%
Q3 2025$85.5M-17%
Q2 2025$82.3M-14%
Q1 2025$88.7M+0.2%
Q4 2024$106.9M+18%
Q3 2024$102.7M+18%

CRNT's revenue is down over the past year, though its latest quarter was up: $94M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

CRNT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $11MQ4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$416,000Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $2M
Q3 2023: $11MQ4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$416,000Q3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.7M-69%
Q1 2026$2.8M+$4.2M
Q4 2025$8.6M+$11.9M
Q3 2025$4.4M-58%
Q2 2025$5.6M+$6M
Q1 2025-$1.4M-150%
Q4 2024-$3.2M-142%
Q3 2024$10.6M-2.6%

CRNT has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

CRNT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 85MQ4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 90MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 91M
Q3 2023: 85MQ4 2023: 85MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 90MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 91M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+325K shares
1 year+1.7%+1.6M shares
3 years+6.7%+5.7M shares
5 years+9.1%+7.6M shares
Available history+11%+9.4M shares

CRNT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CRNT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.2xQ4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3x
Q3 2023: 1.2xQ4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 20240.2xVery low

CRNT has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CRNT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.9Neutral
Stochastic59.2Neutral

CRNT's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CRNT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCRNTSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

CRNT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

CRNT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.1511% above
20 week MA$2.1610% above
50 week MA$2.293.9% above
100 week MA$2.504.8% below
200 week MA$2.442.5% below

CRNT has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over CRNT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CRNT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.06$2.86+39%
2021$2.86$2.64-7.7%
2022$2.64$1.90-28%
2023$1.90$2.16+14%
2024$2.16$4.71+118%
2025$4.71$2.11-55%
2026 YTD$2.11$2.38+13%

CRNT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +118% in 2024 to −55% in 2025. It's up 13% so far in 2026.

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