AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over CREX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CREX

Creative Realities, Inc.

48
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

CREX has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CREX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Stable

CREX's revenue is currently strong, and its balance sheet is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

CREX PE Valuation

CREX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CREX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect CREX's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CREX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CREX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$2.98
Downside-27%$1.56

Calculated from the latest close: $2.15 on Nov 12.

CREX trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over CREX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CREX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.35Q1 2024: $-0.22Q2 2024: $-0.09Q3 2024: $0.14Q4 2024: $-0.34Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.12Q3 2025: $-0.88Q4 2025: $-0.81Q1 2026: $-1.87Q2 2026: $-2.11
Q4 2023: $-0.35Q1 2024: $-0.22Q2 2024: $-0.09Q3 2024: $0.14Q4 2024: $-0.34Q1 2025: $-0.01Q2 2025: $-0.12Q3 2025: $-0.88Q4 2025: $-0.81Q1 2026: $-1.87Q2 2026: $-2.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$2.11-$1.99
Q1 2026-$1.87-$1.86
Q4 2025-$0.81-$0.47
Q3 2025-$0.88-729%
Q2 2025-$0.12-$0.03
Q1 2025-$0.01+$0.21
Q4 2024-$0.34+$0.01
Q3 2022$0.15-55%

CREX is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.11 per share over the past year, against $5.16 at its worst in late 2020.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over CREX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CREX Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $12MQ4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $22M
Q3 2023: $12MQ4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $22M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$21.5M+65%
Q1 2026$16.3M+68%
Q4 2025$23.9M+117%
Q3 2025$10.5M-27%
Q2 2025$13M-0.6%
Q1 2025$9.7M-21%
Q4 2024$11M-24%
Q3 2024$14.4M+25%

CREX's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $22M last quarter, up 65% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

CREX Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $543,000Q4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $672,000Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $457,000
Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $543,000Q4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $672,000Q3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $457,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$457K-32%
Q1 2026-$1.9M+$551K
Q4 2025-$7M-$5.6M
Q3 2025-$1.7M-415%
Q2 2025$672K-70%
Q1 2025-$2.5M-227%
Q4 2024-$1.4M+$1.8M
Q3 2024$543K-71%

CREX has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

CREX Total Shares

Q3 2023: 9MQ4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 10MQ1 2025: 10MQ2 2025: 10MQ4 2025: 10MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11M
Q3 2023: 9MQ4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 10MQ1 2025: 10MQ2 2025: 10MQ4 2025: 10MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+16K shares
1 year+1.2%+121K shares
3 years+44%+3.2M shares
5 years+211%+7.2M shares

CREX has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CREX Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 4.8xQ4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.1x
Q3 2023: 4.8xQ4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20242.1xModerate
Q4 20232.3xModerate
Q3 20234.8xHigh
Q2 202313.2xHigh
Q1 202310.0xHigh
Q4 202245.2xHigh
Q4 20194.9xHigh

CREX's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 10 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CREX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.0Neutral
Stochastic8.9Oversold

CREX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CREX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCREXSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

CREX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over CREX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CREX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.254.4% below
20 week MA$2.7923% below
50 week MA$3.2033% below
100 week MA$2.8725% below
200 week MA$2.9828% below

CREX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over CREX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CREX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.20$3.90-7.1%
2021$3.90$4.38+12%
2022$4.38$1.71-61%
2023$1.71$2.36+38%
2024$2.36$2.69+14%
2025$2.69$2.66-1.1%
2026 YTD$2.66$2.15-19%

CREX has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 19% so far in 2026.

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