AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over CORZ overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CORZ

Core Scientific, Inc.

49
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

CORZ has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CORZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Under pressure

CORZ's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

CORZ PE Valuation

CORZ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 48x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CORZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CORZ to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CORZ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CORZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$21.37
Downside-31%$9.88

Calculated from the latest close: $14.38 on Nov 12.

CORZ trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

CORZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $0.13Q2 2024: $-4.36Q3 2024: $-5.42Q4 2024: $-5.59Q1 2025: $-5.13Q2 2025: $-0.66Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $1.35Q1 2026: $-0.95Q2 2026: $-4.23Q3 2026: $-3.31Forward: $0.30
Q4 2023: $-0.68Q1 2024: $0.13Q2 2024: $-4.36Q3 2024: $-5.42Q4 2024: $-5.59Q1 2025: $-5.13Q2 2025: $-0.66Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $1.35Q1 2026: $-0.95Q2 2026: $-4.23Q3 2026: $-3.31Forward: $0.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.30—
Q3 2026-$3.31-5617%
Q2 2026-$4.23-$3.57
Q1 2026-$0.95+$4.18
Q4 2025$1.35+$6.94
Q3 2025$0.06+$5.48
Q2 2025-$0.66+$3.70
Q1 2025-$5.13-4046%
Q4 2024-$5.59-$4.91

CORZ has swung to a loss: it lost $3.31 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over CORZ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CORZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $142MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $95MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $80MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $164MQ3 2026: $233M
Q4 2023: $142MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $95MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: $80MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $80MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $164MQ3 2026: $233M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$232.9M+187%
Q2 2026$164.2M+109%
Q1 2026$115.2M+45%
Q4 2025$79.8M-16%
Q3 2025$81.1M-15%
Q2 2025$78.6M-44%
Q1 2025$79.5M-56%
Q4 2024$94.9M-33%

CORZ's revenue is growing: $233M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

CORZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$25MQ4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: −$129MQ2 2025: −$87MQ3 2025: −$113MQ4 2025: −$122MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: −$584MQ3 2026: −$475M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$25MQ4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: −$129MQ2 2025: −$87MQ3 2025: −$113MQ4 2025: −$122MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: −$584MQ3 2026: −$475M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$475.4M-$362.7M
Q2 2026-$583.9M-$496.7M
Q1 2026-$139.3M-$10.3M
Q4 2025-$121.7M-$106.8M
Q3 2025-$112.7M-$87.3M
Q2 2025-$87.3M-$85.3M
Q1 2025-$129M-$119.3M
Q4 2024-$15M-249%

CORZ has burned cash in most quarters: −$1.3B over the past year, against −$344M the year before.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over CORZ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CORZ Total Shares

Q1 2024: 283MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 292MQ4 2024: 256MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 319MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 323MQ2 2026: 325MQ3 2026: 469M
Q1 2024: 283MQ2 2024: 179MQ3 2024: 292MQ4 2024: 256MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 319MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 323MQ2 2026: 325MQ3 2026: 469M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+44%+144M shares
1 year+47%+150M shares
3 years+25%+93.2M shares

CORZ has 469M diluted shares, up 47% from a year ago.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CORZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.1xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 3.7x
Q4 2023: 8.1xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20243.7xElevated
Q3 20241.7xHealthy
Q2 20242.7xModerate
Q1 20243.0xModerate
Q4 20238.1xHigh

CORZ's net debt is about 3.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.1 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CORZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic17.2Oversold

CORZ's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CORZ PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCORZSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

CORZ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has stronger trend alignment. AAOI is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus CORZ above 0 of 4.

CORZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.40.1% below
20 week MA$17.719% below
50 week MA$18.924% below
100 week MA$16.111% below

CORZ is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 100-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over CORZ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CORZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$3.46$14.1+306%
2025$14.1$15.3+8.8%
2026 YTD$15.3$14.4-6%

CORZ has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 6% so far in 2026.

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