AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has a slight edge over COMP overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

COMP

Compass, Inc.

57
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

COMP has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

COMP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Weak

COMP's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

COMP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE164x328x492x656x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE164x328x492x656x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current72x$10.04—
Cheap155x$21.68+116%
Fair212x$29.73+196%
Expensive560x$78.41+681%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

COMP's PE is 72x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

COMP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect COMP's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than COMP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

COMP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$14.86
Downside-32%$6.82

Calculated from the latest close: $10.04 on Nov 12.

COMP trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

COMP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.69Q1 2024: $-0.63Q2 2024: $-0.49Q3 2024: $-0.41Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.13Q2 2025: $-0.10Q3 2025: $-0.11Q4 2025: $-0.10Q1 2026: $0.02Q2 2026: $0.06Q3 2026: $0.14
Q4 2023: $-0.69Q1 2024: $-0.63Q2 2024: $-0.49Q3 2024: $-0.41Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.13Q2 2025: $-0.10Q3 2025: $-0.11Q4 2025: $-0.10Q1 2026: $0.02Q2 2026: $0.06Q3 2026: $0.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.14+$0.25
Q2 2026$0.06+$0.16
Q1 2026$0.02+$0.15
Q4 2025-$0.10+$0.21
Q3 2025-$0.11+$0.30
Q2 2025-$0.10+$0.39
Q1 2025-$0.13+$0.50
Q4 2024-$0.31+$0.38

COMP has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over COMP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

COMP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $3.9B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $3.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.9B+111%
Q2 2026$4.3B+109%
Q1 2026$2.7B+99%
Q4 2025$1.7B+23%
Q3 2025$1.8B+24%
Q2 2025$2.1B+21%
Q1 2025$1.4B+29%
Q4 2024$1.4B+26%

COMP's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $3.9B last quarter, up 111% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

COMP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: −$168MQ2 2026: $180MQ3 2026: $240M
Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: −$168MQ2 2026: $180MQ3 2026: $240M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$240M+226%
Q2 2026$180M+165%
Q1 2026-$168M-962%
Q4 2025$42.2M+58%
Q3 2025$73.6M+124%
Q2 2025$68M+68%
Q1 2025$19.5M+231%
Q4 2024$26.7M+$67.7M

COMP has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over COMP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COMP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 467MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 510MQ3 2024: 506MQ4 2024: 502MQ1 2025: 550MQ2 2025: 591MQ3 2025: 566MQ1 2026: 823MQ2 2026: 842MQ3 2026: 863M
Q4 2023: 467MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 510MQ3 2024: 506MQ4 2024: 502MQ1 2025: 550MQ2 2025: 591MQ3 2025: 566MQ1 2026: 823MQ2 2026: 842MQ3 2026: 863M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.4%+20.2M shares
1 year+46%+271M shares
3 years+87%+402M shares
5 years+580%+736M shares
Available history+143%+508M shares

COMP has 863M diluted shares, up 46% from a year ago.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

COMP Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -9.1xQ2 2025: -4.4xQ3 2025: -3.9xQ4 2025: -4.0xQ2 2026: 25.9xQ3 2026: 7.5x
Q1 2025: -9.1xQ2 2025: -4.4xQ3 2025: -3.9xQ4 2025: -4.0xQ2 2026: 25.9xQ3 2026: 7.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.5xHigh
Q2 202625.9xHigh
Q4 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.1xNet Cash

COMP's net debt is about 7.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

COMP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.0Neutral
Stochastic25.7Neutral

COMP's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

COMP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCOMPSector medianRelative
PE72x28x157% above
PE %04141 pts below

COMP is trading at 72x earnings, a 157% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

COMP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.525.5% above
20 week MA$10.86.6% below
50 week MA$10.10.1% below
100 week MA$8.8613% above
200 week MA$6.3758% above

COMP has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over COMP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

COMP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$20.2$9.22-54%
2022$9.22$2.25-76%
2023$2.25$3.76+67%
2024$3.76$5.85+56%
2025$5.85$10.6+81%
2026 YTD$10.6$10.0-5.2%

COMP has finished higher in three of the last five years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 5.2% so far in 2026.

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