AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

COE

51Talk Online Education Group

There isn't enough reported data to score COE yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

COE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

COE's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

COE PE Valuation

COE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

COE Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for COE to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and COE's risk to reward.

COE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $11.26 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and COE's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over COE in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

COE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2016: $-1.82Q4 2017: $-1.16Q4 2018: $-0.82Q4 2019: $-0.20Q4 2020: $0.26Q4 2021: $0.21Q4 2022: $-0.13Q4 2023: $-0.04Q4 2024: $-0.02Q4 2025: $-0.05
Q4 2016: $-1.82Q4 2017: $-1.16Q4 2018: $-0.82Q4 2019: $-0.20Q4 2020: $0.26Q4 2021: $0.21Q4 2022: $-0.13Q4 2023: $-0.04Q4 2024: $-0.02Q4 2025: $-0.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025-$0.05-$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.02+$0.02
Q4 2023-$0.04+$0.09
Q4 2022-$0.13-162%
Q4 2021$0.21-19%
Q4 2020$0.26+$0.46
Q4 2019-$0.20+$0.62
Q4 2018-$0.82+$0.34

COE has swung to a loss: it lost $0.05 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over COE in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

COE Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2015: --Q4 2015: --Q4 2016: $63MQ4 2017: $127MQ4 2018: $172MQ4 2019: $222MQ4 2020: $308MQ4 2021: $327MQ4 2022: $15MQ4 2023: $27MQ4 2024: $51MQ4 2025: $96M
Q1 2015: --Q4 2015: --Q4 2016: $63MQ4 2017: $127MQ4 2018: $172MQ4 2019: $222MQ4 2020: $308MQ4 2021: $327MQ4 2022: $15MQ4 2023: $27MQ4 2024: $51MQ4 2025: $96M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$95.6M+89%
Q4 2024$50.7M+87%
Q4 2023$27.1M+80%
Q4 2022$15M-95%
Q4 2021$327.4M+6.2%
Q4 2020$308.3M+39%
Q4 2019$221.9M+29%
Q4 2018$171.9M+35%

COE's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $96M last quarter, down 71% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

COE Free Cash Flow

Q1 2015: โˆ’$3MQ4 2015: โˆ’$57MQ4 2016: โˆ’$1MQ4 2017: $3MQ4 2018: $2MQ4 2019: $58MQ4 2020: $105MQ4 2021: โˆ’$105MQ4 2022: โˆ’$46MQ4 2023: $272,000Q4 2024: $6MQ4 2025: $10M
Q1 2015: โˆ’$3MQ4 2015: โˆ’$57MQ4 2016: โˆ’$1MQ4 2017: $3MQ4 2018: $2MQ4 2019: $58MQ4 2020: $105MQ4 2021: โˆ’$105MQ4 2022: โˆ’$46MQ4 2023: $272,000Q4 2024: $6MQ4 2025: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025$9.5M+72%
Q4 2024$5.5M+1931%
Q4 2023$272K+$46M
Q4 2022-$45.7M+$59.4M
Q4 2021-$105.1M-200%
Q4 2020$104.6M+80%
Q4 2019$58.3M+3089%
Q4 2018$1.8M-38%

COE's free cash flow was โˆ’$30M over the past year, against $60M the year before.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over COE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COE Total Shares

Q4 2016: 50MQ4 2017: 75MQ4 2018: 76MQ4 2019: 77MQ4 2020: 85MQ4 2021: 85MQ4 2022: 336MQ4 2023: 341MQ4 2024: 347MQ4 2025: 355M
Q4 2016: 50MQ4 2017: 75MQ4 2018: 76MQ4 2019: 77MQ4 2020: 85MQ4 2021: 85MQ4 2022: 336MQ4 2023: 341MQ4 2024: 347MQ4 2025: 355M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.3%+7.9M shares
1 year+318%+270M shares

COE has 355M diluted shares, up 318% from a year ago.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

COE Net Leverage

COE's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

COE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic8.4Oversold

COE's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

COE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCOESector medianRelative
PEN/A28xโ€”

COE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over COE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.30.2% below
20 week MA$14.020% below
50 week MA$21.147% below
100 week MA$25.055% below
200 week MA$17.034% below

COE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over COE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

COE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.0$108.8+187%
2021$108.8$4.64-96%
2022$4.64$6.13+32%
2023$6.13$8.03+31%
2024$8.03$18.0+124%
2025$18.0$32.2+79%
2026 YTD$32.2$11.3-65%

COE's yearly returns have swung widely, from +187% in 2020 to โˆ’96% in 2021. It's down 65% so far in 2026.

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