AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
CNXN
PC Connection, Inc.
CNXN has a slight edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CNXN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
CNXN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
CNXN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 14x | $58.21 | -30% |
| Forward | 17x | $83.16 | — |
| Fair | 19x | $76.99 | -7.4% |
| Current | 21x | $83.16 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $87.28 | +5% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CNXN's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CNXN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CNXN, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
CNXN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.76 | +18% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.05 | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.78 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.44 | +4.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.27 | -0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.23 | -5% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.28 | -2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.30 | +6.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.29 | +4.4% |
CNXN has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over CNXN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
CNXN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $874.3M | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $854M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $721.9M | +3% |
| Q4 2025 | $702.9M | -0.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $709.1M | -2.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $759.7M | +3.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $701M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $708.9M | +1.8% |
CNXN's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $874M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.7% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5% | +1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4% | +0.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.3% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2% | -0.8 points |
CNXN has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
CNXN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7.6M | -88% |
| Q2 2026 | -$65.7M | -367% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.3M | +$66.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $25.2M | -0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $62.3M | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $24.6M | -33% |
| Q1 2025 | -$54.1M | -197% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.2M | +105% |
CNXN has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
CNXN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +102K shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -48K shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -993K shares |
| 5 years | -3.5% | -927K shares |
| Available history | -4.1% | -1.1M shares |
CNXN has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $2.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $10.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $5.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $16.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $43.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $4.6M |
CNXN spent $13M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 81% from the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CNXN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
CNXN has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
CNXN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.1 | Neutral |
CNXN's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CNXN PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | CNXN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 26% below |
| PE % | 71 | 35 | 36 pts above |
CNXN is trading at 21x earnings, a 26% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
CNXN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $87.7 | 5.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $83.7 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $71.2 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $67.7 | 23% above |
| 200 week MA | $63.4 | 31% above |
CNXN has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over CNXN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
CNXN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.0 | $44.3 | -13% |
| 2021 | $44.3 | $44.1 | -0.3% |
| 2022 | $44.1 | $47.7 | +8.1% |
| 2023 | $47.7 | $67.2 | +41% |
| 2024 | $67.2 | $69.5 | +3.4% |
| 2025 | $69.5 | $59.7 | -14% |
| 2026 YTD | $59.7 | $83.2 | +39% |
CNXN is up 39% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.