AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over CNXC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CNXC

Concentrix Corporation

49
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

CNXC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CNXC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Healthy
Under pressure

CNXC's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

CNXC PE Valuation

CNXC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over CNXC on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

CNXC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CNXC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CNXC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CNXC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$48.55
Downside-34%$21.07

Calculated from the latest close: $31.97 on Nov 12.

CNXC trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over CNXC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNXC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.70Q1 2024: $4.78Q2 2024: $4.25Q3 2024: $3.01Q4 2024: $3.71Q1 2025: $3.99Q2 2025: $3.64Q3 2025: $4.73Q4 2025: $-20.36Q1 2026: $-21.07Q2 2026: $-20.84Q3 2026: $-38.42Forward: $11.51
Q4 2023: $5.70Q1 2024: $4.78Q2 2024: $4.25Q3 2024: $3.01Q4 2024: $3.71Q1 2025: $3.99Q2 2025: $3.64Q3 2025: $4.73Q4 2025: $-20.36Q1 2026: $-21.07Q2 2026: $-20.84Q3 2026: $-38.42Forward: $11.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.51—
Q3 2026-$38.42-912%
Q2 2026-$20.84-673%
Q1 2026-$21.07-628%
Q4 2025-$20.36-649%
Q3 2025$4.73+57%
Q2 2025$3.64-14%
Q1 2025$3.99-17%
Q4 2024$3.71-35%

CNXC has swung to a loss: it lost $38.42 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over CNXC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CNXC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $2.4BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B-1.2%
Q2 2026$2.5B+1.9%
Q1 2026$2.5B+5.4%
Q4 2025$2.6B+4.3%
Q3 2025$2.5B+4%
Q2 2025$2.4B+1.5%
Q1 2025$2.4B-1.3%
Q4 2024$2.4B+9.7%

CNXC's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $2.5B last quarter, down 1.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

CNXC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $164MQ1 2024: −$103MQ2 2024: $178MQ3 2024: $129MQ4 2024: $225MQ1 2025: −$49MQ2 2025: $181MQ3 2025: $160MQ4 2025: $281MQ1 2026: −$137MQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $221M
Q4 2023: $164MQ1 2024: −$103MQ2 2024: $178MQ3 2024: $129MQ4 2024: $225MQ1 2025: −$49MQ2 2025: $181MQ3 2025: $160MQ4 2025: $281MQ1 2026: −$137MQ2 2026: $210MQ3 2026: $221M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$221.2M+38%
Q2 2026$209.7M+16%
Q1 2026-$137.1M-$87.9M
Q4 2025$281.2M+25%
Q3 2025$159.7M+24%
Q2 2025$180.7M+1.4%
Q1 2025-$49.2M+$53.7M
Q4 2024$224.5M+37%

CNXC has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

CNXC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61M
Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 64MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 61MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 61M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+48K shares
1 year-2.9%-1.8M shares
3 years+19%+9.7M shares
5 years+17%+8.8M shares
Available history+19%+9.8M shares

CNXC has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CNXC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.6xQ1 2024: 5.6xQ2 2024: 5.4xQ3 2024: 4.7xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.5x
Q4 2023: 5.6xQ1 2024: 5.6xQ2 2024: 5.4xQ3 2024: 4.7xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.9xElevated
Q4 20244.2xHigh
Q3 20244.7xHigh
Q2 20245.4xHigh
Q1 20245.6xHigh
Q4 20235.6xHigh

CNXC's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.7 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CNXC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.3Neutral
Stochastic68.9Neutral

CNXC's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CNXC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCNXCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

CNXC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

CNXC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.911% above
20 week MA$27.118% above
50 week MA$30.35.7% above
100 week MA$39.719% below
200 week MA$60.047% below

CNXC has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over CNXC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CNXC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$80.0$99.9+25%
2021$99.9$177.2+77%
2022$177.2$129.6-27%
2023$129.6$98.2-24%
2024$98.2$44.4-55%
2025$44.4$42.0-5.6%
2026 YTD$42.0$32.0-24%

CNXC has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 24% so far in 2026.

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