AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over CNDT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
CNDT
Conduent Incorporated
CNDT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CNDT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
CNDT's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
CNDT PE Valuation
CNDT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over CNDT on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
CNDT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong decline | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect CNDT's losses to shrink, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI has the edge over CNDT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CNDT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.57 | -$0.66 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.54 | -1500% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.04 | -172% |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.14 | -151% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.91 | -140% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.11 | -45% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.44 | +$2.35 |
| Q4 2024 | $2.23 | +$3.64 |
CNDT is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.57 per share over the past year, against $9.29 at its worst in late 2019.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over CNDT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over CNDT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CNDT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $534M | -30% |
| Q2 2026 | $531M | -30% |
| Q1 2026 | $723M | -3.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $770M | -3.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $767M | -5% |
| Q2 2025 | $754M | -8.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $751M | -18% |
| Q4 2024 | $800M | -16% |
CNDT's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $534M last quarter, down 30% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -6.5% | -1.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | -11% | -5.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | -3.7% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | -3.6% | +6.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | -5% | -25 points |
| Q2 2025 | -5% | -41 points |
| Q1 2025 | -7.5% | -21 points |
| Q4 2024 | -10% | -9.8 points |
CNDT's operating margin was −6.5% last quarter, down 1.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
CNDT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$112M | -$58M |
| Q2 2026 | -$2M | +$28M |
| Q1 2026 | -$17M | +$55M |
| Q4 2025 | $24M | -54% |
| Q3 2025 | -$54M | -$33M |
| Q2 2025 | -$30M | +$29M |
| Q1 2025 | -$72M | -$22M |
| Q4 2024 | $52M | -50% |
CNDT has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
CNDT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +306K shares |
| 1 year | -0.9% | -1.4M shares |
| 3 years | -28% | -61.8M shares |
| 5 years | -29% | -64.2M shares |
| Available history | -26% | -53.7M shares |
CNDT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $5M |
| Q3 2025 | $13M |
| Q2 2025 | $7M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $14M |
| Q2 2024 | $151M |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CNDT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 13.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
CNDT has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
CNDT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 13.6 | Oversold |
CNDT's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CNDT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | CNDT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
CNDT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over CNDT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CNDT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.53 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $1.58 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.60 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $2.23 | 44% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.87 | 57% below |
CNDT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over CNDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
CNDT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.99 | $4.85 | -19% |
| 2021 | $4.85 | $5.36 | +11% |
| 2022 | $5.36 | $4.13 | -23% |
| 2023 | $4.13 | $3.65 | -12% |
| 2024 | $3.65 | $4.08 | +12% |
| 2025 | $4.08 | $1.93 | -53% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.93 | $1.24 | -36% |
CNDT has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 36% so far in 2026.