AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

CMTL

Comtech Telecommunications Corp.

There isn't enough reported data to score CMTL yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CMTL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

CMTL's cash flow is currently healthy, but its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

CMTL PE Valuation

CMTL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over CMTL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

CMTL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong decline
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect CMTL's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and CMTL's risk to reward.

CMTL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.21 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and CMTL's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98โ€”
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 112% for AAOI versus CMTL down 811%.

CMTL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.86Q1 2024: $-1.70Q2 2024: $-1.41Q3 2024: $-4.70Q4 2024: $-9.88Q1 2025: $-9.57Q2 2025: $-10.02
Q4 2023: $-0.86Q1 2024: $-1.70Q2 2024: $-1.41Q3 2024: $-4.70Q4 2024: $-9.88Q1 2025: $-9.57Q2 2025: $-10.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2025-$10.02-$8.61
Q1 2025-$9.57-$7.87
Q4 2024-$9.88-$9.02
Q3 2024-$4.70-$3.49
Q2 2024-$1.41-$0.14
Q1 2024-$1.70-$0.70
Q4 2023-$0.86+$0.80
Q3 2023-$1.21+$0.42

CMTL lost $10.02 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over CMTL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CMTL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $152MQ1 2024: $134MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $126MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $127MQ3 2025: $130MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $106MQ3 2026: โˆ’$74M
Q4 2023: $152MQ1 2024: $134MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $126MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $127MQ3 2025: $130MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $106MQ3 2026: โˆ’$74M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$106M-16%
Q1 2026$106.8M-16%
Q4 2025$111M-4.1%
Q3 2025$130.4M+3.3%
Q2 2025$126.8M-1%
Q1 2025$126.6M-5.7%
Q4 2024$115.8M-24%
Q3 2024$126.2M-15%

CMTL's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: โˆ’$74M last quarter, down 157% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: โˆ’$34MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$21MQ4 2024: โˆ’$53MQ1 2025: โˆ’$79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$91MQ3 2025: โˆ’$79MQ4 2025: โˆ’$105MQ1 2026: โˆ’$144MQ2 2026: โˆ’$265MQ3 2026: โˆ’$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$883M over the past year, against โˆ’$302M the year before.

CMTL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$18MQ1 2024: โˆ’$31MQ2 2024: โˆ’$6MQ3 2024: โˆ’$14MQ4 2024: โˆ’$24MQ1 2025: โˆ’$2MQ2 2025: โˆ’$160,000Q3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $442,000Q2 2026: $673,000Q3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$18MQ1 2024: โˆ’$31MQ2 2024: โˆ’$6MQ3 2024: โˆ’$14MQ4 2024: โˆ’$24MQ1 2025: โˆ’$2MQ2 2025: โˆ’$160,000Q3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $442,000Q2 2026: $673,000Q3 2026: $15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$15.1M+60%
Q2 2026$673K+$833K
Q1 2026$442K+$2.3M
Q4 2025$4.8M+$29M
Q3 2025$9.4M+$23.1M
Q2 2025-$160K+$6.3M
Q1 2025-$1.9M+$29M
Q4 2024-$24.2M-$6.5M

CMTL has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

CMTL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+21K shares
1 year+1.5%+446K shares
3 years+6.3%+1.8M shares
5 years+14%+3.6M shares
Available history+21%+5.1M shares

CMTL has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CMTL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.4xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 6.6x
Q4 2023: 5.4xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 3.0xQ3 2026: 6.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.6xHigh
Q2 20263.0xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20254.0xElevated
Q2 20243.7xElevated
Q1 20243.7xElevated
Q4 20235.4xHigh
Q3 20237.8xHigh

CMTL's net debt is about 6.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CMTL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic11.1Oversold

CMTL's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CMTL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCMTLSector medianRelative
PEN/A28xโ€”

CMTL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over CMTL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CMTL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.274.7% below
20 week MA$1.5321% below
50 week MA$3.2663% below
100 week MA$2.8257% below
200 week MA$5.1476% below

CMTL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 76% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over CMTL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CMTL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.6$20.7-42%
2021$20.7$24.2+17%
2022$24.2$12.0-50%
2023$12.0$8.43-30%
2024$8.43$4.14-51%
2025$4.14$4.73+14%
2026 YTD$4.73$1.21-74%

CMTL has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 74% so far in 2026.

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