AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over CLVT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CLVT

Clarivate Plc

50
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

CLVT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CLVT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

CLVT's cash flow is currently healthy, but its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

CLVT PE Valuation

CLVT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over CLVT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

CLVT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect CLVT's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CLVT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CLVT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+75%$4.03
Downside-43%$1.30

Calculated from the latest close: $2.30 on Nov 12.

CLVT trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

CLVT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.47Q1 2024: $-1.65Q2 2024: $-1.90Q3 2024: $-1.98Q4 2024: $-0.96Q1 2025: $-0.97Q2 2025: $-0.62Q3 2025: $-0.57Q4 2025: $-0.30Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $-0.52Q3 2026: $-0.61Forward: $0.62
Q4 2023: $-1.47Q1 2024: $-1.65Q2 2024: $-1.90Q3 2024: $-1.98Q4 2024: $-0.96Q1 2025: $-0.97Q2 2025: $-0.62Q3 2025: $-0.57Q4 2025: $-0.30Q1 2026: $-0.21Q2 2026: $-0.52Q3 2026: $-0.61Forward: $0.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.62—
Q3 2026-$0.61-$0.04
Q2 2026-$0.52+$0.10
Q1 2026-$0.21+$0.76
Q4 2025-$0.30+$0.66
Q3 2025-$0.57+$1.41
Q2 2025-$0.62+$1.28
Q1 2025-$0.97+$0.68
Q4 2024-$0.96+$0.51

CLVT has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over CLVT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CLVT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $684MQ1 2024: $621MQ2 2024: $650MQ3 2024: $622MQ4 2024: $663MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $621MQ3 2025: $623MQ4 2025: $617MQ1 2026: $586MQ2 2026: $587MQ3 2026: $482M
Q4 2023: $684MQ1 2024: $621MQ2 2024: $650MQ3 2024: $622MQ4 2024: $663MQ1 2025: $594MQ2 2025: $621MQ3 2025: $623MQ4 2025: $617MQ1 2026: $586MQ2 2026: $587MQ3 2026: $482M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$481.6M-23%
Q2 2026$587.3M-5.5%
Q1 2026$585.5M-1.4%
Q4 2025$617M-6.9%
Q3 2025$623.1M+0.1%
Q2 2025$621.4M-4.4%
Q1 2025$593.7M-4.4%
Q4 2024$663M-3%

CLVT's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $482M last quarter, down 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

CLVT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $126MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $110MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $89MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $110M
Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $126MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $110MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $89MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $110M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$110.2M-4.6%
Q2 2026$44M-13%
Q1 2026$78.9M-28%
Q4 2025$89.2M+51%
Q3 2025$115.5M-8.6%
Q2 2025$50.3M-17%
Q1 2025$110.3M-1.3%
Q4 2024$59.1M-53%

CLVT has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

CLVT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 672MQ1 2024: 667MQ2 2024: 686MQ3 2024: 719MQ4 2024: 694MQ1 2025: 690MQ2 2025: 681MQ3 2025: 668MQ4 2025: 673MQ1 2026: 641MQ2 2026: 639MQ3 2026: 640M
Q4 2023: 672MQ1 2024: 667MQ2 2024: 686MQ3 2024: 719MQ4 2024: 694MQ1 2025: 690MQ2 2025: 681MQ3 2025: 668MQ4 2025: 673MQ1 2026: 641MQ2 2026: 639MQ3 2026: 640M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+300K shares
1 year-4.3%-28.6M shares
3 years-4.7%-31.2M shares
5 years+4.7%+28.6M shares
Available history+86%+297M shares

CLVT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CLVT Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 9.7xQ2 2025: 6.1xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 4.9xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 6.1x
Q4 2024: 9.4xQ1 2025: 9.7xQ2 2025: 6.1xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 4.9xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 6.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.1xHigh
Q2 20266.0xHigh
Q1 20264.6xHigh
Q4 20254.9xHigh
Q3 20255.7xHigh
Q2 20256.1xHigh
Q1 20259.7xHigh
Q4 20249.4xHigh

CLVT's net debt is about 6.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.7 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CLVT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.8Neutral
Stochastic66.9Neutral

CLVT's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CLVT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCLVTSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

CLVT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

CLVT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.8524% above
20 week MA$1.9916% above
50 week MA$2.383.4% below
100 week MA$3.2930% below
200 week MA$5.4658% below

CLVT has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over CLVT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CLVT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.0$30.1+77%
2021$30.1$24.7-18%
2022$24.7$8.16-67%
2023$8.16$9.26+13%
2024$9.26$5.12-45%
2025$5.12$3.50-32%
2026 YTD$3.50$2.30-34%

CLVT has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 34% so far in 2026.

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