AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has a slight edge over CLMB overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

CLMB

Climb Global Solutions, Inc.

58
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CLMB has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CLMB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

CLMB's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

CLMB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$18.74-57%
Fair20x$26.20-39%
Forward21x$43.09—
Expensive26x$33.59-22%
Current33x$43.09—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CLMB's PE is in its expensive range at 33x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over CLMB on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

CLMB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CLMB, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CLMB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CLMB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$56.80
Downside-26%$31.72

Calculated from the latest close: $43.09 on Nov 12.

CLMB trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

CLMB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.68Q1 2024: $0.65Q2 2024: $0.76Q3 2024: $0.92Q4 2024: $1.01Q1 2025: $1.07Q2 2025: $1.20Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.16Q1 2026: $1.14Q2 2026: $1.11Q3 2026: $1.29Forward: $2.06
Q4 2023: $0.68Q1 2024: $0.65Q2 2024: $0.76Q3 2024: $0.92Q4 2024: $1.01Q1 2025: $1.07Q2 2025: $1.20Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.16Q1 2026: $1.14Q2 2026: $1.11Q3 2026: $1.29Forward: $2.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.06+60%
Q3 2026$1.29+11%
Q2 2026$1.11-7.5%
Q1 2026$1.14+6.5%
Q4 2025$1.16+15%
Q3 2025$1.16+26%
Q2 2025$1.20+58%
Q1 2025$1.07+65%
Q4 2024$1.01+49%

CLMB has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over CLMB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CLMB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $107MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $119MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: $138MQ2 2025: $159MQ3 2025: $161MQ4 2025: $194MQ1 2026: $182MQ2 2026: $174MQ3 2026: $220M
Q4 2023: $107MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $119MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: $138MQ2 2025: $159MQ3 2025: $161MQ4 2025: $194MQ1 2026: $182MQ2 2026: $174MQ3 2026: $220M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$220.3M+37%
Q2 2026$174.2M+9.4%
Q1 2026$182.4M+32%
Q4 2025$193.8M+20%
Q3 2025$161.3M+35%
Q2 2025$159.3M+73%
Q1 2025$138M+49%
Q4 2024$161.8M+51%

CLMB's revenue has grown year over year for 17 quarters in a row: $220M last quarter, up 37% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

CLMB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.1M-50%
Q2 2026$14.9M+$17.1M
Q1 2026$16.3M+93%
Q4 2025-$11.9M-174%
Q3 2025$22.2M+$25.8M
Q2 2025-$2.2M-130%
Q1 2025$8.5M-40%
Q4 2024$16M+324%

CLMB has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

CLMB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+27K shares
1 year+1%+179K shares
3 years+3.8%+667K shares
5 years+7%+1.2M shares
Available history+3.6%+639K shares

CLMB has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CLMB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -2.2xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

CLMB has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CLMB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI78.6Overbought
Stochastic84.0Overbought

CLMB's weekly RSI is 79 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CLMB PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCLMBSector medianRelative
PE33x28x20% above
PE %953560 pts above

CLMB is trading at 33x earnings, a 20% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

CLMB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.721% above
20 week MA$30.641% above
50 week MA$26.861% above
100 week MA$28.054% above
200 week MA$21.898% above

CLMB has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

CLMB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.01$4.85+21%
2021$4.85$8.92+84%
2022$8.92$7.82-12%
2023$7.82$13.7+75%
2024$13.7$31.6+130%
2025$31.6$26.0-18%
2026 YTD$26.0$43.1+66%

CLMB has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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