AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CGNX

Cognex Corporation

83
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

CGNX has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CGNX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

CGNX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

CGNX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x99x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x49x74x99x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward26x$50.77—
Current35x$50.77—
Cheap40x$57.69+14%
Fair55x$79.70+57%
Expensive79x$113+123%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CGNX's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CGNX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CGNX, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails CGNX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CGNX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$87.15
Downside-13%$44.08

Calculated from the latest close: $50.77 on Nov 12.

CGNX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

CGNX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.65Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.45Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.62Q1 2025: $0.69Q2 2025: $0.72Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $1.04Q4 2026: $1.44Forward: $1.94
Q4 2023: $0.65Q1 2024: $0.57Q2 2024: $0.45Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.62Q1 2025: $0.69Q2 2025: $0.72Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $0.68Q2 2026: $0.85Q3 2026: $1.04Q4 2026: $1.44Forward: $1.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.94+35%
Q3 2026$1.44+122%
Q2 2026$1.04+44%
Q1 2026$0.85+23%
Q4 2025$0.68+9.7%
Q3 2025$0.65+27%
Q2 2025$0.72+60%
Q1 2025$0.69+21%
Q4 2024$0.62-4.6%

CGNX has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over CGNX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CGNX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $239MQ3 2024: $235MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $249MQ3 2025: $277MQ4 2025: $252MQ2 2026: $268MQ3 2026: $291MQ4 2026: $313M
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $239MQ3 2024: $235MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $249MQ3 2025: $277MQ4 2025: $252MQ2 2026: $268MQ3 2026: $291MQ4 2026: $313M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$313.4M+13%
Q2 2026$291.3M+17%
Q1 2026$268.4M+24%
Q4 2025$252.3M+9.9%
Q3 2025$276.9M+18%
Q2 2025$249.1M+4.1%
Q1 2025$216M+2.5%
Q4 2024$229.7M+17%

CGNX's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $313M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

CGNX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $49MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $72MQ2 2026: $42MQ3 2026: $68MQ4 2026: $104M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $49MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $40MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $72MQ2 2026: $42MQ3 2026: $68MQ4 2026: $104M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$103.8M+21%
Q2 2026$67.6M+67%
Q1 2026$42.3M+11%
Q4 2025$72.3M+47%
Q3 2025$86M+66%
Q2 2025$40.4M+74%
Q1 2025$38M+297%
Q4 2024$49.3M+560%

CGNX has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

CGNX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 173MQ1 2024: 173MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 170MQ4 2026: 171M
Q4 2023: 173MQ1 2024: 173MQ2 2024: 173MQ3 2024: 173MQ4 2024: 173MQ1 2025: 170MQ2 2025: 169MQ3 2025: 169MQ4 2025: 169MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 170MQ4 2026: 171M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+1M shares
1 year+1%+1.7M shares
3 years-1.3%-2.3M shares
5 years-5.2%-9.3M shares
Available history-2.4%-4.2M shares

CGNX has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CGNX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.1xQ4 2026: -2.2x
Q4 2023: -1.3xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.1xQ4 2026: -2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

CGNX has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CGNX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.1Neutral
Stochastic13.4Oversold

CGNX's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CGNX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCGNXSector medianRelative
PE35x28x27% above
PE %83527 pts below

CGNX is trading at 35x earnings, a 27% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

CGNX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.49.9% below
20 week MA$60.917% below
50 week MA$55.17.8% below
100 week MA$45.611% above
200 week MA$44.913% above

CGNX has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over CGNX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CGNX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$56.2$80.7+44%
2021$80.7$77.6-3.9%
2022$77.6$47.4-39%
2023$47.4$41.7-12%
2024$41.7$36.0-14%
2025$36.0$36.6+1.4%
2026 YTD$36.6$50.8+39%

CGNX is up 39% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in four of the previous six years.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key