AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over CCSI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
CCSI
Consensus Cloud Solutions, Inc.
CCSI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CCSI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable | |
| Stable |
CCSI's profitability is currently strong, and its balance sheet is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
CCSI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.8x | $23.52 | -46% |
| Fair | 6.2x | $30.79 | -29% |
| Forward | 7x | $43.31 | — |
| Current | 8.8x | $43.31 | — |
| Expensive | 9.7x | $47.77 | +10% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CCSI's PE is in its expensive range at 8.8x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.0x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over CCSI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
CCSI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect CCSI's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
CCSI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.22 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.94 | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.94 | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.58 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.35 | -5.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.21 | -7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.15 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.32 | -4.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.62 | +17% |
CCSI has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over CCSI in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
CCSI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | $91.8M | -50% |
| Q2 2022 | $93.2M | +6.1% |
| Q3 2021 | $182.1M | +7% |
CCSI's revenue is down over the past year, though its latest quarter was up: $91M last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2023 | 37% | N/A |
| Q3 2022 | 36% | +4 points |
| Q2 2022 | 44% | -15 points |
| Q3 2021 | 32% | -5.2 points |
| Q2 2021 | 59% | N/A |
| Q1 2021 | 60% | N/A |
| Q4 2020 | 33% | N/A |
| Q3 2020 | 37% | N/A |
CCSI's operating margin was 37% last quarter, down 22 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
CCSI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $38.6M | -13% |
| Q2 2026 | $25.5M | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $38.5M | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.3M | +133% |
| Q3 2025 | $44.4M | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $20.3M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $33.7M | -5.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.1M | +$8.8M |
CCSI has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
CCSI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -127K shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -198K shares |
| 3 years | -3% | -592K shares |
| 5 years | -4.3% | -847K shares |
| Available history | -4.3% | -847K shares |
CCSI has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $9.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $17.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $8M |
| Q3 2025 | $2.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $12.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $34,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $300,000 |
CCSI spent $56M buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CCSI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
CCSI's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.9 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
CCSI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 76.8 | Neutral |
CCSI's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CCSI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | CCSI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.8x | 28x | 69% below |
| PE % | 78 | 45 | 33 pts above |
CCSI is trading at 8.8x earnings, a 69% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
CCSI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $38.0 | 14% above |
| 20 week MA | $37.4 | 16% above |
| 50 week MA | $31.4 | 38% above |
| 100 week MA | $27.7 | 56% above |
| 200 week MA | $27.0 | 61% above |
CCSI has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.
CCSI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $45.0 | $58.5 | +30% |
| 2022 | $58.5 | $53.3 | -8.9% |
| 2023 | $53.3 | $26.2 | -51% |
| 2024 | $26.2 | $23.9 | -8.8% |
| 2025 | $23.9 | $23.4 | -2.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $23.4 | $43.3 | +85% |
CCSI has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.