AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CCC

CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc.

77
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

CCC has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CCC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Weak

CCC's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

CCC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE558x1116x1675x2233x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE558x1116x1675x2233x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$7.69—
Current59x$7.69—
Cheap93x$12.12+58%
Fair231x$30.03+291%
Expensive804x$104+1259%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CCC's PE is in its cheap range at 59x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CCC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CCC, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails CCC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CCC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$11.50
Downside-14%$6.63

Calculated from the latest close: $7.69 on Nov 12.

CCC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

CCC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.15Q1 2024: $-0.15Q2 2024: $0.04Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.04Q1 2025: $0.01Q2 2025: $0.00Q3 2025: $0.00Q4 2025: $0.00Q1 2026: $0.06Q2 2026: $0.08Q3 2026: $0.13Forward: $0.51
Q4 2023: $-0.15Q1 2024: $-0.15Q2 2024: $0.04Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.04Q1 2025: $0.01Q2 2025: $0.00Q3 2025: $0.00Q4 2025: $0.00Q1 2026: $0.06Q2 2026: $0.08Q3 2026: $0.13Forward: $0.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.51+296%
Q3 2026$0.13+$0.13
Q2 2026$0.08+$0.08
Q1 2026$0.06+500%
Q4 2025$0.00-100%
Q3 2025$0.00-100%
Q2 2025$0.00-100%
Q1 2025$0.01+$0.16
Q4 2024$0.04+$0.19

CCC has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over CCC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CCC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $229MQ1 2024: $227MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $238MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: $252MQ2 2025: $260MQ3 2025: $267MQ4 2025: $278MQ1 2026: $281MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $294M
Q4 2023: $229MQ1 2024: $227MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $238MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: $252MQ2 2025: $260MQ3 2025: $267MQ4 2025: $278MQ1 2026: $281MQ2 2026: $286MQ3 2026: $294M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$294.1M+10%
Q2 2026$285.9M+9.8%
Q1 2026$281.3M+12%
Q4 2025$277.9M+13%
Q3 2025$267.1M+12%
Q2 2025$260.5M+12%
Q1 2025$251.6M+11%
Q4 2024$246.5M+7.8%

CCC's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $294M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

CCC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $49MQ4 2024: $106MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $82MQ3 2026: $82M
Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $49MQ4 2024: $106MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $105MQ1 2026: $42MQ2 2026: $82MQ3 2026: $82M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$82.5M+4.9%
Q2 2026$82.4M+201%
Q1 2026$41.6M-4.7%
Q4 2025$104.9M-0.8%
Q3 2025$78.6M+59%
Q2 2025$27.4M-24%
Q1 2025$43.6M+10%
Q4 2024$105.7M+41%

CCC has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

CCC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 618MQ1 2024: 598MQ2 2024: 638MQ3 2024: 642MQ4 2024: 642MQ1 2025: 637MQ2 2025: 661MQ3 2025: 631MQ4 2025: 660MQ1 2026: 607MQ2 2026: 585MQ3 2026: 593M
Q4 2023: 618MQ1 2024: 598MQ2 2024: 638MQ3 2024: 642MQ4 2024: 642MQ1 2025: 637MQ2 2025: 661MQ3 2025: 631MQ4 2025: 660MQ1 2026: 607MQ2 2026: 585MQ3 2026: 593M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+8.5M shares
1 year-6%-38M shares
3 years-5%-31.5M shares
5 years+4.8%+27M shares

CCC has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CCC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 44.4xQ1 2024: 75.1xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 7.9xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ3 2025: 7.2xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2023: 44.4xQ1 2024: 75.1xQ2 2024: 5.1xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 7.9xQ2 2025: 8.1xQ3 2025: 7.2xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 5.8xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.1xHigh
Q2 20264.9xHigh
Q1 20265.8xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20257.2xHigh
Q2 20258.1xHigh
Q1 20257.9xHigh
Q4 20243.0xElevated

CCC's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.2 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CCC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.0Neutral
Stochastic88.2Overbought

CCC's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CCC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCCCSector medianRelative
PE59x28x112% above
PE %23836 pts below

CCC is trading at 59x earnings, a 112% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

CCC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.354.6% above
20 week MA$6.9011% above
50 week MA$6.3821% above
100 week MA$7.963.4% below
200 week MA$9.4118% below

CCC has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over CCC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CCC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.4$14.0+23%
2021$14.0$11.6-17%
2022$11.6$8.82-24%
2023$8.82$11.4+29%
2024$11.4$12.0+4.9%
2025$12.0$8.09-32%
2026 YTD$8.09$7.69-4.9%

CCC has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 4.9% so far in 2026.

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