AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

CBRS

Cerebras Systems Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CBRS yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CBRS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Unavailable
Strong

CBRS's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

CBRS PE Valuation

CBRS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CBRS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CBRS to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and CBRS's risk to reward.

CBRS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $97.75 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and CBRS's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over CBRS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CBRS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $-2.23Q1 2025: $-2.19Q2 2025: $-0.60Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $1.11Q1 2026: $1.00Q2 2026: $-3.42Q3 2026: $-3.99
Q4 2024: $-2.23Q1 2025: $-2.19Q2 2025: $-0.60Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $1.11Q1 2026: $1.00Q2 2026: $-3.42Q3 2026: $-3.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.99-639%
Q2 2026-$3.42-$2.82
Q1 2026$1.00+$3.19
Q4 2025$1.11+$3.34

CBRS has swung to a loss: it lost $3.99 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over CBRS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CBRS Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $68MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $171MQ1 2026: $193MQ2 2026: $180MQ3 2026: $211M
Q2 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $68MQ2 2024: $68MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $136MQ4 2025: $171MQ1 2026: $193MQ2 2026: $180MQ3 2026: $211M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$210.8M+55%
Q2 2026$180.1M+74%
Q1 2026$193.4M+94%
Q4 2025$171.4M+110%
Q3 2025$135.7M+88%
Q2 2025$103.3M+51%
Q1 2025$99.5M+46%
Q2 2024$68.2M+1474%

CBRS's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2024: $211M last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

CBRS Free Cash Flow

Q2 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$153MQ2 2025: −$156MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$120MQ2 2026: −$477MQ3 2026: −$839M
Q2 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$153MQ2 2025: −$156MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$120MQ2 2026: −$477MQ3 2026: −$839M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$476.7M-$321M
Q1 2026-$119.6M+$33.5M
Q2 2025-$155.8M-204%
Q1 2025-$153.2M-202%
Q2 2024$150M+$185.3M
Q1 2024$150M+$185.3M

CBRS has burned cash in most quarters: −$1.6B over the past year, against $112M the year before.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

CBRS Total Shares

Q2 2023: 215MQ1 2024: 215MQ2 2024: 215MQ3 2024: 215MQ4 2024: 215MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 215MQ3 2025: 215MQ4 2025: 215MQ1 2026: 63MQ2 2026: 151MQ3 2026: 239M
Q2 2023: 215MQ1 2024: 215MQ2 2024: 215MQ3 2024: 215MQ4 2024: 215MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 215MQ3 2025: 215MQ4 2025: 215MQ1 2026: 63MQ2 2026: 151MQ3 2026: 239M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+58%+87.9M shares
1 year+11%+23.7M shares
3 years+11%+23.7M shares

CBRS has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CBRS Net Leverage

Q4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -2.7x
Q4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: -2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026-2.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.7xNet Cash

CBRS has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CBRS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI24.3Oversold
Stochastic6.7Oversold

CBRS's weekly RSI is 24 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CBRS PE vs Technology Sector

CBRS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has stronger trend alignment. AAOI is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus CBRS above 0 of 2.

CBRS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$134.027% below
20 week MA$174.244% below

CBRS is in a downtrend: it's below all two of its weekly moving averages, and 44% below its 20-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over CBRS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CBRS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2026 YTD$279.7$97.8-65%

It's down 65% so far in 2026.

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