AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over BRAG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
BRAG
Bragg Gaming Group Inc.
BRAG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BRAG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
BRAG's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
BRAG PE Valuation
BRAG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BRAG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Decline | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| -- |
Analysts expect BRAG to return to profit, with revenue declining.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI has the edge over BRAG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BRAG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.33 | -$0.09 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.29 | -$0.02 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.36 | -$0.12 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.33 | -$0.08 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.24 | +$0.14 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.27 | -$0.02 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.24 | -$0.05 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.25 | -$0.05 |
BRAG is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.33 per share over the past year, against $2.02 at its worst in late 2020.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over BRAG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over BRAG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BRAG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $25.4M | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.6M | +0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $30.9M | +2.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $29.8M | +2.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $29M | +4.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $28.3M | +7.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $30.2M | +16% |
| Q3 2024 | $29.1M | +16% |
BRAG's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $25M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -8.5% | +0.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.6% | +1 points |
| Q4 2025 | -0.3% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4.5% | -2.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | -9% | -4.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | -6.6% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2.4% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2024 | -1.6% | +7.9 points |
BRAG's operating margin was −8.5% last quarter, up 0.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
BRAG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.1M | +$5.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7M | +0.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $9M | +300% |
| Q3 2025 | -$869.8K | -123% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.2M | +$460.1K |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7M | +$1.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3M | -66% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.7M | +237% |
BRAG has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
BRAG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | +1.6% | +400K shares |
| 3 years | +8.5% | +2M shares |
| 5 years | +29% | +5.7M shares |
| Available history | +5979% | +25.2M shares |
BRAG has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BRAG hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BRAG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BRAG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
BRAG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 25.9 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 5.0 | Oversold |
BRAG's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BRAG PE vs Technology Sector
BRAG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over BRAG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BRAG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.06 | 36% below |
| 20 week MA | $1.38 | 51% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.71 | 60% below |
| 100 week MA | $2.73 | 75% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.73 | 82% below |
BRAG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 82% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over BRAG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
BRAG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.75 | $13.6 | +677% |
| 2021 | $13.6 | $5.69 | -58% |
| 2022 | $5.69 | $3.85 | -32% |
| 2023 | $3.85 | $5.05 | +31% |
| 2024 | $5.05 | $3.48 | -31% |
| 2025 | $3.48 | $1.95 | -44% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.95 | $0.68 | -65% |
BRAG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +677% in 2020 to −58% in 2021. It's down 65% so far in 2026.