AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over BLSH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
BLSH
Bullish
BLSH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BLSH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
BLSH's cash flow is currently stable, but its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
BLSH PE Valuation
BLSH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BLSH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BLSH, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI has the edge over BLSH in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
BLSH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | — |
| Q2 2026 | -$9.12 | -$8.12 |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.60 | -$4.07 |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.10 | -1062% |
BLSH lost $9.12 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over BLSH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
BLSH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $92.6M | -100% |
| Q1 2026 | $51.8B | -35% |
| Q4 2025 | $64.4B | -2.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $41.6B | -23% |
| Q2 2025 | $58.7B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $80.3B | -0.2% |
BLSH's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $93M last quarter, down 100% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 6.6% | +6.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1% | -0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0% | 0 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0% | 0 points |
| Q4 2024 | 0% | N/A |
| Q3 2024 | 0% | N/A |
BLSH has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
BLSH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.1M | -88% |
| Q1 2026 | $89.6M | +$134.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $54.1M | +52% |
| Q3 2025 | -$48.7M | -$38.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8M | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | -$45.3M | +$27.4M |
BLSH has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
BLSH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +270K shares |
| 1 year | +3.6% | +5.2M shares |
BLSH has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BLSH hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BLSH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | 3.9x | Elevated |
BLSH's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
BLSH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.1 | Oversold |
BLSH's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BLSH PE vs Technology Sector
BLSH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has stronger trend alignment. AAOI is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus BLSH above 0 of 3.
BLSH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $28.8 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $28.5 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $32.8 | 29% below |
BLSH is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 29% below its 50-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over BLSH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
BLSH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $69.5 | $41.1 | -41% |
| 2026 YTD | $41.1 | $23.2 | -44% |
BLSH has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 44% so far in 2026.