AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over BLND overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
BLND
Blend Labs, Inc.
BLND has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BLND Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable |
BLND's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
BLND PE Valuation
BLND has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over BLND on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
BLND Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect BLND's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 112% for AAOI versus BLND down 116%.
BLND Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.04 | — |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.33 | +$0.64 |
| Q2 2024 | -$0.48 | +$0.88 |
| Q1 2024 | -$0.57 | +$2.67 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.76 | +$2.52 |
BLND is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $3.28 at its worst in late 2022.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over BLND on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over BLND on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BLND Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $32.9M | +0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $33.8M | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $30.8M | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $32.4M | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $32.9M | -27% |
| Q2 2025 | $31.5M | -22% |
| Q1 2025 | $26.8M | -23% |
| Q4 2024 | $41.4M | +15% |
BLND's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $33M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -8% | +6.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | -4.7% | +10 points |
| Q1 2026 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | -11% | -6.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +15 points |
| Q2 2025 | -15% | +18 points |
| Q1 2025 | -29% | +32 points |
| Q4 2024 | -4.3% | +56 points |
BLND's operating margin was −8% last quarter, up 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
BLND Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $94K | +$5.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1M | +$17.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $6.2M | -61% |
| Q4 2025 | -$21K | +$7.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$5.8M | -$4.4M |
| Q2 2025 | -$10.1M | -$1.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $15.8M | +$21.6M |
| Q4 2024 | -$7.2M | +$13.6M |
BLND has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
BLND Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -7.2% | -18.3M shares |
| 1 year | -8.4% | -21.9M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 5 years | +8.1% | +17.7M shares |
| Available history | +8.1% | +17.7M shares |
BLND has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $20.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $16.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $15.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $5M |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6M |
| Q4 2021 | $110,000 |
BLND spent $53M buying back its own shares over the past year.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BLND Net Leverage
BLND's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
BLND Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.4 | Oversold |
BLND's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BLND PE vs Technology Sector
BLND has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
BLND Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1.05 | 1.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $1.37 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $1.77 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $2.63 | 59% below |
| 200 week MA | $2.44 | 56% below |
BLND has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 56% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over BLND on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
BLND Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $20.9 | $7.53 | -64% |
| 2022 | $7.53 | $1.22 | -84% |
| 2023 | $1.22 | $2.55 | +109% |
| 2024 | $2.55 | $4.29 | +68% |
| 2025 | $4.29 | $3.05 | -29% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.05 | $1.07 | -65% |
BLND's yearly returns have swung widely, from +109% in 2023 to −84% in 2022. It's down 65% so far in 2026.