AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over BLIN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

BLIN

Bridgeline Digital, Inc.

55
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

BLIN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BLIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

BLIN's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

BLIN PE Valuation

BLIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 5.1x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BLIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect BLIN to return to profit, with revenue growing.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLIN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$0.91
Downside-33%$0.41

Calculated from the latest close: $0.61 on Nov 12.

BLIN trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

BLIN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.91Q4 2023: $-0.96Q1 2024: $-0.97Q2 2024: $-0.93Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.19Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.27Q3 2025: $-0.25Q4 2025: $-0.20Q1 2026: $-0.14Q2 2026: $-0.11Forward: $0.12
Q3 2023: $-0.91Q4 2023: $-0.96Q1 2024: $-0.97Q2 2024: $-0.93Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.19Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.27Q3 2025: $-0.25Q4 2025: $-0.20Q1 2026: $-0.14Q2 2026: $-0.11Forward: $0.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.12—
Q2 2026-$0.11+$0.16
Q1 2026-$0.14+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.20-$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.25-$0.06
Q2 2025-$0.27+$0.66
Q1 2025-$0.23+$0.74
Q4 2024-$0.19+$0.77
Q3 2024-$0.19+$0.72

BLIN has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over BLIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLIN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $4MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $4M
Q3 2023: $4MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $4M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.9M+2%
Q1 2026$3.9M+1.1%
Q4 2025$3.9M+3.2%
Q3 2025$3.9M+0.2%
Q2 2025$3.8M-2.3%
Q1 2025$3.9M+1.9%
Q4 2024$3.8M+1%
Q3 2024$3.9M+1.7%

BLIN's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $4M last quarter, up 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

BLIN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$74,000Q4 2023: −$896,000Q1 2024: −$91,000Q2 2024: −$19,000Q3 2024: $212,000Q4 2024: $173,000Q1 2025: −$374,000Q2 2025: −$570,000Q3 2025: −$351,000Q4 2025: −$46,000Q1 2026: −$57,000Q2 2026: $139,000
Q3 2023: −$74,000Q4 2023: −$896,000Q1 2024: −$91,000Q2 2024: −$19,000Q3 2024: $212,000Q4 2024: $173,000Q1 2025: −$374,000Q2 2025: −$570,000Q3 2025: −$351,000Q4 2025: −$46,000Q1 2026: −$57,000Q2 2026: $139,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$139K+$709K
Q1 2026-$57K+$317K
Q4 2025-$46K-127%
Q3 2025-$351K-266%
Q2 2025-$570K-$551K
Q1 2025-$374K-$283K
Q4 2024$173K+$1.1M
Q3 2024$212K+$286K

BLIN has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

BLIN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 10MQ4 2023: 10MQ1 2024: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 10MQ4 2024: 10MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12M
Q3 2023: 10MQ4 2023: 10MQ1 2024: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 10MQ4 2024: 10MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+66.4K shares
1 year+1.7%+200K shares
3 years+17%+1.7M shares
5 years+143%+7.1M shares
Available history+334%+9.3M shares

BLIN has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BLIN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2021-346.2xNet Cash
Q2 2021-4.4xNet Cash
Q1 2021-1.1xNet Cash

BLIN has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

BLIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.3Oversold
Stochastic1.2Oversold

BLIN's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 1 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BLIN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricBLINSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

BLIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has the edge over BLIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BLIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.7114% below
20 week MA$0.9234% below
50 week MA$0.9334% below
100 week MA$1.2150% below
200 week MA$1.1145% below

BLIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 45% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over BLIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BLIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.90$2.68+41%
2021$2.68$2.42-9.7%
2022$2.42$1.03-57%
2023$1.03$0.87-16%
2024$0.87$1.43+64%
2025$1.43$0.93-35%
2026 YTD$0.93$0.61-34%

BLIN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 34% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key