AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BILI
Bilibili Inc.
BILI has a slight edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BILI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure |
BILI's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
BILI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 27x | $13.50 | — |
| Cheap | 35x | $17.64 | +31% |
| Fair | 90x | $45.86 | +240% |
| Expensive | 316x | $161 | +1094% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BILI's PE is 27x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BILI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BILI, with profitability improving.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
BILI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.51 | +538% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.47 | +$0.69 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.40 | +$0.89 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.26 | +$1.25 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.08 | +$1.53 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.22 | +$1.57 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.49 | +$1.26 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.99 | +$0.86 |
BILI has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over BILI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
BILI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | +22% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.1B | +26% |
BILI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.2B last quarter, up 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 4.7% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2% | +2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.1% | +4.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.6% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.4% | +13 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.2% | +15 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6% | +22 points |
| Q3 2024 | -0.9% | +18 points |
BILI has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
BILI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | -100% |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | -100% |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | $303.9M | +9.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $190M | +133% |
| Q4 2024 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2024 | $0 | $0 |
BILI has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
BILI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -5.9M shares |
| 1 year | +3.7% | +16.2M shares |
| 3 years | +9.7% | +40.1M shares |
| 5 years | +18% | +69M shares |
| Available history | +39% | +126M shares |
BILI has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $338,861 |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BILI hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BILI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -7.0x | Net Cash |
BILI's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
BILI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.5 | Oversold |
BILI's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BILI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | BILI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 4.2% below |
| PE % | 3 | 35 | 32 pts below |
BILI is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over BILI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BILI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $14.2 | 4.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.9 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $21.0 | 36% below |
| 100 week MA | $21.4 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $18.7 | 28% below |
BILI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over BILI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
BILI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.2 | $82.0 | +350% |
| 2021 | $82.0 | $45.9 | -44% |
| 2022 | $45.9 | $23.2 | -50% |
| 2023 | $23.2 | $12.2 | -47% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $18.8 | +55% |
| 2025 | $18.8 | $25.0 | +32% |
| 2026 YTD | $25.0 | $13.5 | -46% |
BILI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +350% in 2020 to −50% in 2022. It's down 46% so far in 2026.