AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BAND

Bandwidth Inc.

65
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential54/ 100

BAND has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BAND Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Stable

BAND's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

BAND PE Valuation

BAND has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BAND Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BAND, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BAND, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BAND Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+121%$102.20
Downside-54%$21.29

Calculated from the latest close: $46.29 on Nov 12.

BAND trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

BAND Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.06Q1 2024: $-1.13Q2 2024: $-1.15Q3 2024: $-0.94Q4 2024: $-0.57Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.43Q1 2026: $-0.38Q2 2026: $-0.29Q3 2026: $-0.12Forward: $2.05
Q4 2023: $-1.06Q1 2024: $-1.13Q2 2024: $-1.15Q3 2024: $-0.94Q4 2024: $-0.57Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.34Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.43Q1 2026: $-0.38Q2 2026: $-0.29Q3 2026: $-0.12Forward: $2.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.05—
Q3 2026-$0.12+$0.27
Q2 2026-$0.29+$0.05
Q1 2026-$0.38-$0.03
Q4 2025-$0.43+$0.14
Q3 2025-$0.39+$0.55
Q2 2025-$0.34+$0.81
Q1 2025-$0.35+$0.78
Q4 2024-$0.57+$0.49

BAND has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over BAND on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BAND Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $171MQ2 2024: $174MQ3 2024: $194MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $174MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $208MQ1 2026: $209MQ2 2026: $220MQ3 2026: $234M
Q4 2023: $165MQ1 2024: $171MQ2 2024: $174MQ3 2024: $194MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $174MQ2 2025: $180MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $208MQ1 2026: $209MQ2 2026: $220MQ3 2026: $234M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$234M+22%
Q2 2026$219.9M+22%
Q1 2026$208.8M+20%
Q4 2025$207.7M-1.1%
Q3 2025$191.9M-1%
Q2 2025$180M+3.7%
Q1 2025$174.2M+1.9%
Q4 2024$210M+27%

BAND's revenue is growing: $234M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

BAND Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$851,000Q2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $33MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$851,000Q2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $33MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $34MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$35M+119%
Q2 2026$26.1M-7.1%
Q1 2026$1.7M+$12.1M
Q4 2025$33.5M+1.1%
Q3 2025$16M-5.8%
Q2 2025$28.2M+37%
Q1 2025-$10.5M-$9.6M
Q4 2024$33.2M+117%

BAND has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

BAND Total Shares

Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 40M
Q4 2023: 26MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 40M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+20%+6.6M shares
1 year+33%+9.9M shares
3 years+57%+14.5M shares
5 years+60%+15M shares
Available history+68%+16.2M shares

BAND has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BAND Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 45.8xQ1 2024: 28.2xQ2 2024: 14.5xQ3 2024: 9.5xQ4 2024: 6.8xQ1 2025: 6.0xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 2.3xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 45.8xQ1 2024: 28.2xQ2 2024: 14.5xQ3 2024: 9.5xQ4 2024: 6.8xQ1 2025: 6.0xQ2 2025: 4.9xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 2.3xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20262.3xModerate
Q4 20253.7xElevated
Q3 20254.5xHigh
Q2 20254.9xHigh
Q1 20256.0xHigh
Q4 20246.8xHigh

BAND's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.5 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

BAND Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.2Neutral
Stochastic26.1Neutral

BAND's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BAND PE vs Technology Sector

MetricBANDSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

BAND has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

BAND Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$50.07.5% below
20 week MA$53.013% below
50 week MA$38.321% above
100 week MA$26.773% above
200 week MA$21.3117% above

BAND has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

BAND Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$65.3$174.1+167%
2021$174.1$72.9-58%
2022$72.9$23.7-68%
2023$23.7$14.5-39%
2024$14.5$17.3+20%
2025$17.3$15.2-12%
2026 YTD$15.2$46.3+205%

BAND has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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