AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AVPT

AvePoint, Inc.

70
Fundamentals86/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

AVPT has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AVPT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Unavailable

AVPT's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

AVPT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2181x4361x6542x8723x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2181x4361x6542x8723x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward34x$16.38—
Cheap48x$15.89-3%
Current50x$16.38—
Fair66x$21.92+34%
Expensive7,357x$2,428+14722%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AVPT's PE is in its cheap range at 50x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AVPT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AVPT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails AVPT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AVPT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$23.25
Downside-17%$13.62

Calculated from the latest close: $16.38 on Nov 12.

AVPT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

AVPT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.12Q1 2024: $-0.08Q2 2024: $-0.08Q3 2024: $-0.05Q4 2024: $-0.16Q1 2025: $-0.13Q2 2025: $-0.05Q3 2025: $0.00Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.31Q3 2026: $0.33Forward: $0.48
Q4 2023: $-0.12Q1 2024: $-0.08Q2 2024: $-0.08Q3 2024: $-0.05Q4 2024: $-0.16Q1 2025: $-0.13Q2 2025: $-0.05Q3 2025: $0.00Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.31Q3 2026: $0.33Forward: $0.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.48+46%
Q3 2026$0.33+$0.33
Q2 2026$0.31+$0.36
Q1 2026$0.20+$0.33
Q4 2025$0.15+$0.31
Q3 2025$0.00+$0.05
Q2 2025-$0.05+$0.03
Q1 2025-$0.13-$0.05
Q4 2024-$0.16-$0.04

AVPT has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over AVPT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AVPT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $93MQ2 2025: $102MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $117MQ2 2026: $124MQ3 2026: $131M
Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $93MQ2 2025: $102MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $117MQ2 2026: $124MQ3 2026: $131M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$131.1M+19%
Q2 2026$124.5M+22%
Q1 2026$117.2M+26%
Q4 2025$114.7M+29%
Q3 2025$109.7M+24%
Q2 2025$102M+31%
Q1 2025$93.1M+25%
Q4 2024$89.2M+20%

AVPT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since mid-2022: $131M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

AVPT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $30M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $30M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$30M-13%
Q2 2026$14.7M-24%
Q1 2026$23M+$24M
Q4 2025$29M-9.5%
Q3 2025$34.3M+11%
Q2 2025$19.3M+22%
Q1 2025-$1M-114%
Q4 2024$32M+54%

AVPT has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

AVPT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 182MQ1 2024: 181MQ2 2024: 183MQ3 2024: 204MQ4 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 225MQ2 2025: 229MQ3 2025: 233MQ4 2025: 229MQ1 2026: 226MQ2 2026: 221MQ3 2026: 222M
Q4 2023: 182MQ1 2024: 181MQ2 2024: 183MQ3 2024: 204MQ4 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 225MQ2 2025: 229MQ3 2025: 233MQ4 2025: 229MQ1 2026: 226MQ2 2026: 221MQ3 2026: 222M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+1.1M shares
1 year-4.7%-10.9M shares
3 years+22%+40.2M shares
5 years+534%+187M shares

AVPT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AVPT Net Leverage

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

AVPT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.0Neutral
Stochastic83.1Overbought

AVPT's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AVPT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAVPTSector medianRelative
PE50x28x78% above
PE %183517 pts below

AVPT is trading at 50x earnings, a 78% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

AVPT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.36.9% above
20 week MA$13.918% above
50 week MA$12.333% above
100 week MA$14.314% above
200 week MA$11.345% above

AVPT has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over AVPT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

AVPT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.90$16.3+65%
2021$16.3$6.50-60%
2022$6.50$4.27-34%
2023$4.27$8.21+92%
2024$8.21$17.0+106%
2025$17.0$13.8-19%
2026 YTD$13.8$16.4+19%

AVPT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +106% in 2024 to −60% in 2021. It's up 19% so far in 2026.

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