AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over ASYS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ASYS

Amtech Systems, Inc.

51
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

ASYS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASYS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ASYS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ASYS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x69x104x139x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x69x104x139x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.2x$2.48-80%
Fair32x$8.65-30%
Forward35x$12.43—
Current46x$12.43—
Expensive78x$20.98+69%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASYS's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 35x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over ASYS on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ASYS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ASYS, but weaker profitability.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASYS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASYS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$19.24
Downside-32%$8.48

Calculated from the latest close: $12.43 on Nov 12.

ASYS trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

ASYS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.89Q4 2023: $-1.35Q1 2024: $-1.51Q2 2024: $-1.41Q3 2024: $-0.60Q4 2024: $0.08Q1 2025: $-2.22Q2 2025: $-2.24Q3 2025: $-2.12Q4 2025: $-2.13Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.27Forward: $0.36
Q3 2023: $-0.89Q4 2023: $-1.35Q1 2024: $-1.51Q2 2024: $-1.41Q3 2024: $-0.60Q4 2024: $0.08Q1 2025: $-2.22Q2 2025: $-2.24Q3 2025: $-2.12Q4 2025: $-2.13Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.27Forward: $0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.36+33%
Q2 2026$0.27+$2.51
Q1 2026$0.18+$2.40
Q4 2025-$2.13-2762%
Q3 2025-$2.12-$1.52
Q2 2025-$2.24-$0.83
Q1 2025-$2.22-$0.71
Q4 2024$0.08+$1.43
Q3 2024-$0.60+$0.29

ASYS has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over ASYS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASYS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $28MQ4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $22M
Q3 2023: $28MQ4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $22M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$22.4M+14%
Q1 2026$20.5M+31%
Q4 2025$19M-22%
Q3 2025$19.8M-18%
Q2 2025$19.6M-27%
Q1 2025$15.6M-39%
Q4 2024$24.4M-2.1%
Q3 2024$24.1M-13%

ASYS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $22M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

ASYS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$2MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$884,000Q2 2024: $322,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $201,000Q2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $994,000
Q3 2023: −$2MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$884,000Q2 2024: $322,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $201,000Q2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $994,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$994K-50%
Q1 2026$1.9M+843%
Q4 2025$3.8M+40%
Q3 2025$2M+54%
Q2 2025$2M+515%
Q1 2025$201K+$1.1M
Q4 2024$2.7M-35%
Q3 2024$1.3M+$2.8M

ASYS has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

ASYS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 14MQ4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 16M
Q3 2023: 14MQ4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 14MQ2 2025: 14MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+12%+1.7M shares
3 years+14%+2M shares
5 years+12%+1.7M shares
Available history+12%+1.7M shares

ASYS has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASYS Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -9.2x
Q4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -9.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-9.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2023-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2022-3.0xNet Cash
Q3 2022-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2022-2.9xNet Cash

ASYS has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ASYS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.2Neutral
Stochastic14.1Oversold

ASYS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASYS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricASYSSector medianRelative
PE46x28x65% above
PE %603525 pts above

ASYS is trading at 46x earnings, a 65% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

ASYS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.011% below
20 week MA$15.118% below
50 week MA$15.319% below
100 week MA$10.519% above
200 week MA$8.7442% above

ASYS has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over ASYS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ASYS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.01$6.13-13%
2021$6.13$9.49+55%
2022$9.49$7.85-17%
2023$7.85$4.20-46%
2024$4.20$5.54+32%
2025$5.54$12.8+130%
2026 YTD$12.8$12.4-2.6%

ASYS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +130% in 2025 to −46% in 2023. It's down 2.6% so far in 2026.

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