AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ASAN

Asana, Inc.

64
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

ASAN has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASAN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong
Unavailable

ASAN's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ASAN PE Valuation

ASAN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASAN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ASAN, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASAN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASAN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$15.13
Downside-35%$6.28

Calculated from the latest close: $9.67 on Nov 12.

ASAN trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

ASAN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.33Q1 2024: $-1.17Q2 2024: $-1.17Q3 2024: $-1.15Q4 2024: $-1.12Q1 2025: $-1.11Q2 2025: $-1.00Q3 2025: $-0.89Q4 2025: $-0.93Q1 2026: $-0.80Q2 2026: $-0.69Q3 2026: $-0.66Forward: $0.42
Q4 2023: $-1.33Q1 2024: $-1.17Q2 2024: $-1.17Q3 2024: $-1.15Q4 2024: $-1.12Q1 2025: $-1.11Q2 2025: $-1.00Q3 2025: $-0.89Q4 2025: $-0.93Q1 2026: $-0.80Q2 2026: $-0.69Q3 2026: $-0.66Forward: $0.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.42—
Q3 2026-$0.66+$0.23
Q2 2026-$0.69+$0.31
Q1 2026-$0.80+$0.31
Q4 2025-$0.93+$0.19
Q3 2025-$0.89+$0.26
Q2 2025-$1.00+$0.17
Q1 2025-$1.11+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.12+$0.21

ASAN has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over ASAN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ASAN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $167MQ1 2024: $171MQ2 2024: $172MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $188MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $201MQ1 2026: $206MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $216M
Q4 2023: $167MQ1 2024: $171MQ2 2024: $172MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $188MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $201MQ1 2026: $206MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $216M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$216.4M+9.9%
Q2 2026$205.1M+9.5%
Q1 2026$205.6M+9.2%
Q4 2025$201M+9.3%
Q3 2025$196.9M+9.9%
Q2 2025$187.3M+8.6%
Q1 2025$188.3M+10%
Q4 2024$183.9M+10%

ASAN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $216M last quarter, up 9.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

ASAN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $37MQ3 2026: $45M
Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$3MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $39MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $26MQ2 2026: $37MQ3 2026: $45M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$44.6M+16%
Q2 2026$37.4M+511%
Q1 2026$26.4M+84%
Q4 2025$15.5M+$31.8M
Q3 2025$38.5M+172%
Q2 2025$6.1M+$9M
Q1 2025$14.4M+$30.2M
Q4 2024-$16.3M-$6.8M

ASAN has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

ASAN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 220MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 230MQ4 2024: 230MQ1 2025: 229MQ2 2025: 235MQ3 2025: 236MQ4 2025: 238MQ1 2026: 237MQ2 2026: 238MQ3 2026: 231M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 220MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 230MQ4 2024: 230MQ1 2025: 229MQ2 2025: 235MQ3 2025: 236MQ4 2025: 238MQ1 2026: 237MQ2 2026: 238MQ3 2026: 231M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.1%-7.3M shares
1 year-2.3%-5.4M shares
3 years+5.4%+11.8M shares
5 years+35%+60.2M shares
Available history+54%+81.2M shares

ASAN has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASAN Net Leverage

ASAN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ASAN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.0Neutral
Stochastic60.6Neutral

ASAN's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 61 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASAN PE vs Technology Sector

ASAN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

ASAN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.14.6% below
20 week MA$9.195.2% above
50 week MA$8.898.8% above
100 week MA$12.422% below
200 week MA$14.835% below

ASAN has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over ASAN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ASAN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.9$30.1+16%
2021$30.1$77.9+159%
2022$77.9$13.2-83%
2023$13.2$19.0+44%
2024$19.0$21.6+14%
2025$21.6$13.8-36%
2026 YTD$13.8$9.67-30%

ASAN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +159% in 2021 to −83% in 2022. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

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