AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
ARW
Arrow Electronics, Inc.
ARW has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ARW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
ARW's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
ARW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.4x | $126 | -37% |
| Current | 10x | $198 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $231 | +17% |
| Expensive | 15x | $296 | +49% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ARW's PE is in its fair range at 10x.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ARW Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for ARW to show an outlook.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
ARW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.72 | +118% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.64 | +77% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.97 | +92% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.93 | +50% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.06 | +0.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.85 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.27 | -43% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.29 | -54% |
ARW has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over ARW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
ARW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10.7B | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $10B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.5B | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.7B | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.7B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.6B | +10% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.8B | -1.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.3B | -7.2% |
ARW's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $10.7B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4% | +1.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.8% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.8% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.3% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.7% | -1.4 points |
ARW has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
ARW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$468.3M | -$156.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $297.2M | +$521.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $667.6M | +104% |
| Q4 2025 | $172.6M | -43% |
| Q3 2025 | -$312M | -603% |
| Q2 2025 | -$224.5M | -175% |
| Q1 2025 | $326.7M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $303.9M | +16% |
ARW has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
ARW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -252K shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -526K shares |
| 3 years | -8.3% | -4.7M shares |
| 5 years | -29% | -21M shares |
| Available history | -38% | -32M shares |
ARW has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $99.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $41.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $33.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $50.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $630,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $50.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $59.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $50.8M |
ARW spent $225M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 39% from the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ARW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
ARW's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
ARW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.5 | Neutral |
ARW's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ARW PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ARW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 28x | 64% below |
| PE % | 42 | 35 | 7 pts above |
ARW is trading at 10x earnings, a 64% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
ARW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $214.3 | 7.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $212.5 | 6.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $181.1 | 9.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $148.7 | 33% above |
| 200 week MA | $136.5 | 45% above |
ARW has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.
ARW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $84.5 | $97.1 | +15% |
| 2021 | $97.1 | $130.9 | +35% |
| 2022 | $130.9 | $103.9 | -21% |
| 2023 | $103.9 | $122.3 | +18% |
| 2024 | $122.3 | $114.0 | -6.8% |
| 2025 | $114.0 | $113.4 | -0.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $113.4 | $198.2 | +75% |
ARW has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.