AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

ARAI

Arrive AI Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score ARAI yet.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ARAI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

ARAI's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ARAI PE Valuation

ARAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ARAI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect ARAI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and ARAI's risk to reward.

ARAI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $2.06 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAOI and ARAI's risk to reward.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over ARAI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARAI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-4.54Q4 2023: $-11.52Q1 2024: $-11.34Q2 2024: $-12.41Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-7.35Q1 2025: $-9.24Q2 2025: $-12.58Q3 2025: $-17.50Q4 2025: $-20.64Q1 2026: $-25.92Q2 2026: $-33.60
Q3 2023: $-4.54Q4 2023: $-11.52Q1 2024: $-11.34Q2 2024: $-12.41Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-7.35Q1 2025: $-9.24Q2 2025: $-12.58Q3 2025: $-17.50Q4 2025: $-20.64Q1 2026: $-25.92Q2 2026: $-33.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$33.60-$21.02
Q1 2026-$25.92-$16.68
Q4 2025-$20.64-$13.29
Q3 2025-$17.50-$4.61
Q2 2025-$12.58-$0.17
Q1 2025-$9.24+$2.10
Q4 2024-$7.35+$4.17
Q3 2024-$12.89-$8.35

ARAI lost $33.60 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last six quarters.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over ARAI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ARAI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: $90,725Q3 2025: $7,450Q4 2025: $15,075Q1 2026: $14,925Q2 2026: $14,700
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: $90,725Q3 2025: $7,450Q4 2025: $15,075Q1 2026: $14,925Q2 2026: $14,700
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$14.7K-84%

ARAI's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $14,700 last quarter, down 84% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

ARAI has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 162% versus its history, compared with AAOI at down 676%.

ARAI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: −$726,168Q1 2024: −$602,477Q2 2024: −$751,508Q3 2024: −$605,462Q4 2024: −$367,981Q1 2025: −$546,671Q2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$4M
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: −$726,168Q1 2024: −$602,477Q2 2024: −$751,508Q3 2024: −$605,462Q4 2024: −$367,981Q1 2025: −$546,671Q2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$3.5M-$294.1K
Q1 2026-$3.2M-$2.6M
Q3 2025-$1.2M-$643.5K
Q2 2025-$3.3M-$2.5M
Q1 2025-$546.7K+$55.8K
Q4 2024-$368K+$358.2K

ARAI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$11M over the past year, against −$2M the year before.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has the edge over ARAI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ARAI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 624,546Q4 2023: 624,546Q1 2024: 624,546Q2 2024: 603,127Q3 2024: 624,546Q4 2024: 624,546Q1 2025: 619,193Q2 2025: 657,165Q3 2025: 692,615Q1 2026: 753,483Q2 2026: 1M
Q3 2023: 624,546Q4 2023: 624,546Q1 2024: 624,546Q2 2024: 603,127Q3 2024: 624,546Q4 2024: 624,546Q1 2025: 619,193Q2 2025: 657,165Q3 2025: 692,615Q1 2026: 753,483Q2 2026: 1M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+38%+289K shares
1 year+68%+424K shares
3 years+68%+424K shares

ARAI has 1M diluted shares, up 68% from a year ago.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ARAI Net Leverage

ARAI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ARAI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI18.2Oversold
Stochastic3.5Oversold

ARAI's weekly RSI is 18 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ARAI PE vs Technology Sector

ARAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has stronger trend alignment. AAOI is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus ARAI above 0 of 3.

ARAI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.3468% below
20 week MA$10.781% below
50 week MA$45.996% below

ARAI is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 96% below its 50-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over ARAI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ARAI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$490.1$154.6-68%
2026 YTD$154.6$2.06-99%

ARAI has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 99% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key