AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
APPS
Digital Turbine, Inc.
APPS has a slight edge over AAOI overall on the model score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
APPS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable | |
| Stable |
APPS's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
APPS PE Valuation
APPS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over APPS on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
APPS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for APPS, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
APPS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.71 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.03 | +$0.70 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$0.48 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.33 | +$0.56 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.48 | +$2.56 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.73 | +$2.23 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.77 | +$3.56 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.89 | +$3.27 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.04 | -$1.07 |
APPS has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over APPS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
APPS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $178.7M | +27% |
| Q2 2026 | $166M | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $142.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $151.4M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $140.4M | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $130.9M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $119.2M | +6.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $134.6M | -5.6% |
APPS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $179M last quarter, up 27% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +6.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.4% | +17 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | +24 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.7% | +16 points |
| Q2 2025 | -3.6% | +10 points |
| Q1 2025 | -9.8% | +175 points |
| Q4 2024 | -9.5% | -3 points |
APPS has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
APPS has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 15% versus its history, compared with AAOI at down 676%.
APPS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10M | -31% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.2M | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $14.2M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.5M | +$23.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $8.8M | +$10.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $11.5M | +$23.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4M | -10% |
| Q3 2024 | -$8.7M | -132% |
APPS still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $50M over the past year.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
APPS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.1% | +8.6M shares |
| 1 year | +18% | +20.1M shares |
| 3 years | +28% | +28.6M shares |
| 5 years | +34% | +33.1M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +36.8M shares |
APPS has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
APPS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 6.1x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 12.8x | High |
| Q2 2023 | 3.5x | Elevated |
APPS's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.1 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
APPS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.4 | Oversold |
APPS's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
APPS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | APPS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
APPS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
APPS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.84 | 26% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.4 | 30% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.22 | 1.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $5.77 | 27% above |
| 200 week MA | $5.92 | 23% above |
APPS has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over APPS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
APPS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.40 | $58.6 | +692% |
| 2021 | $58.6 | $62.2 | +6.1% |
| 2022 | $62.2 | $14.1 | -77% |
| 2023 | $14.1 | $6.86 | -51% |
| 2024 | $6.86 | $1.86 | -73% |
| 2025 | $1.86 | $5.22 | +181% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.22 | $7.30 | +40% |
APPS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +692% in 2020 to −77% in 2022. It's up 40% so far in 2026.