AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over APLD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
APLD
Applied Digital Corporation
APLD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
APLD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
APLD's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
APLD PE Valuation
APLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over APLD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.
APLD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect APLD's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
APLD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.66 | -$0.53 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.91 | +$0.18 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.74 | +$0.68 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.54 | +$1.24 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.13 | +$0.09 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.09 | +$0.22 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.42 | -$0.61 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.78 | -$1.41 |
APLD has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over APLD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over APLD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
APLD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $341.9M | +432% |
| Q2 2026 | $258.7M | +407% |
| Q1 2026 | $126.6M | +139% |
| Q4 2025 | $126.6M | +98% |
| Q3 2025 | $64.2M | +5.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $51.1M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $52.9M | +22% |
| Q4 2024 | $63.9M | +51% |
APLD's revenue has grown year over year for 19 quarters in a row: $342M last quarter, up 432% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -18% | +17 points |
| Q2 2026 | -48% | +38 points |
| Q1 2026 | -68% | -32 points |
| Q4 2025 | -24% | +4.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | -35% | -50 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | -23 points |
| Q1 2025 | -36% | +93 points |
| Q4 2024 | -29% | -9.8 points |
APLD's operating margin was −18% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
APLD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.2B | -$965.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$720.2M | -$468.6M |
| Q4 2025 | -$567.9M | -$344.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$331.4M | -$200.8M |
| Q2 2025 | -$191.4M | -$102.5M |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.6M | -$249.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$223.3M | -$214.6M |
APLD has burned cash in most quarters: −$4.5B over the past year, against −$998M the year before.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
APLD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +5.9% | +16.4M shares |
| 1 year | +14% | +35.7M shares |
| 3 years | +210% | +198M shares |
| 5 years | +19195% | +290M shares |
APLD has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
APLD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | 25.6x | High |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -10.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
APLD's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
APLD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.8 | Oversold |
APLD's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
APLD PE vs Technology Sector
APLD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
APLD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.2 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $25.0 | 32% below |
| 50 week MA | $30.2 | 44% below |
| 100 week MA | $21.8 | 22% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.6 | 24% above |
APLD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 24% above its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over APLD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
APLD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $4.78 | $1.92 | -60% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $6.74 | +251% |
| 2024 | $6.74 | $8.39 | +24% |
| 2025 | $8.39 | $24.1 | +187% |
| 2026 YTD | $24.1 | $17.0 | -30% |
APLD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +251% in 2023 to −60% in 2022. It's down 30% so far in 2026.