AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
API
Agora, Inc.
API has a slight edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
API Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
API's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
API PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 36x | $4.09 | — |
| Cheap | 38x | $4.17 | +1.9% |
| Fair | 41x | $4.51 | +10% |
| Expensive | 82x | $9.03 | +121% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
API's PE is 36x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
AAOI has the edge over API on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
API Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect API's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
API Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.11 | +$0.35 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.11 | +$0.46 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.10 | +$0.56 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.05 | +$0.54 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.24 | +$0.22 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.35 | +$0.45 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.46 | +$0.40 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.49 | +$0.66 |
API has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over API on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over API on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
API Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.5M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $37.9M | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $38.2M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $35.4M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $34.3M | +0.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $33.3M | +0.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $34.5M | -4.4% |
| Q3 2024 | $31.6M | -9.8% |
API's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $40M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -3.8% | +5.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | -6.5% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -2.6% | +12 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4.5% | +74 points |
| Q2 2025 | -9.1% | +23 points |
| Q1 2025 | -11% | +27 points |
| Q4 2024 | -14% | +9 points |
| Q3 2024 | -78% | -39 points |
API's operating margin was −3.8% last quarter, up 5.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
API Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$8.1M | -$3.9M |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.7M | -155% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.7M | +$11.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$12M | +$4.9M |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.1M | +$8M |
| Q1 2025 | $6.7M | +$20.6M |
| Q4 2024 | -$6.5M | -$2.8M |
| Q3 2024 | -$16.9M | -$11.8M |
API has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
API Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.3% | -2.2M shares |
| 1 year | -5.9% | -5.8M shares |
| 3 years | -8.1% | -8.1M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -18M shares |
| Available history | -9.3% | -9.5M shares |
API has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $13.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $10.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $4.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $10.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4M |
| Q3 2024 | $3.9M |
API spent $33M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 88% from the year before.
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
API Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | -111.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2020 | -114.0x | Net Cash |
API's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
API Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 35.3 | Neutral |
API's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
API PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | API | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36x | 28x | 28% above |
| PE % | 2 | 36 | 34 pts below |
API is trading at 36x earnings, a 28% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
API Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.23 | 3.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.19 | 2.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.13 | 1% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.08 | 0.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $3.54 | 16% above |
API has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over API on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
API Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $50.5 | $42.4 | -16% |
| 2021 | $42.4 | $16.7 | -61% |
| 2022 | $16.7 | $4.02 | -76% |
| 2023 | $4.02 | $2.63 | -35% |
| 2024 | $2.63 | $4.40 | +67% |
| 2025 | $4.40 | $3.93 | -11% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.93 | $4.09 | +4.1% |
API has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's up 4.1% so far in 2026.