AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ANET

Arista Networks, Inc.

70
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

ANET has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ANET Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

ANET's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ANET PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x71x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x36x54x71x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap31x$115-44%
Forward36x$207—
Fair40x$147-29%
Expensive52x$194-6%
Current56x$207—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ANET's PE is in its expensive range at 56x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 36x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ANET Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ANET, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails ANET on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ANET Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$327.81
Downside-20%$165.99

Calculated from the latest close: $206.63 on Nov 12.

ANET has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

ANET Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.65Q1 2024: $1.80Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $2.08Q4 2024: $2.23Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.55Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.75Q1 2026: $2.91Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $3.71Forward: $5.67
Q4 2023: $1.65Q1 2024: $1.80Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $2.08Q4 2024: $2.23Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.55Q3 2025: $2.64Q4 2025: $2.75Q1 2026: $2.91Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $3.71Forward: $5.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.67+53%
Q3 2026$3.71+41%
Q2 2026$3.16+24%
Q1 2026$2.91+23%
Q4 2025$2.75+23%
Q3 2025$2.64+27%
Q2 2025$2.55+32%
Q1 2025$2.37+32%
Q4 2024$2.23+35%

ANET has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over ANET on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ANET Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+58%
Q2 2026$3B+38%
Q1 2026$2.7B+35%
Q4 2025$2.5B+29%
Q3 2025$2.3B+27%
Q2 2025$2.2B+30%
Q1 2025$2B+28%
Q4 2024$1.9B+25%

ANET's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $3.7B last quarter, up 58% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

ANET Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $504MQ2 2024: $986MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $520MQ1 2024: $504MQ2 2024: $986MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $613MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B-11%
Q2 2026$1.1B-10%
Q1 2026$1.6B+167%
Q4 2025$1.2B+20%
Q3 2025$1.2B+6.1%
Q2 2025$1.2B+19%
Q1 2025$613.3M+22%
Q4 2024$1B+96%

ANET has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

ANET Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+2.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+1.6M shares
3 years+0.6%+7.7M shares
5 years0%-344K shares
Available history-1.2%-15.9M shares

ANET has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ANET Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

ANET has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ANET Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.9Neutral
Stochastic40.9Neutral

ANET's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ANET PE vs Technology Sector

MetricANETSector medianRelative
PE56x28x100% above
PE %913556 pts above

ANET is trading at 56x earnings, a 100% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

ANET Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$190.88.3% above
20 week MA$188.09.9% above
50 week MA$160.729% above
100 week MA$136.651% above
200 week MA$99.6107% above

ANET has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +891% in 2023 to −65% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

ANET Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.8$18.1+41%
2021$18.1$35.5+96%
2022$35.5$29.9-16%
2023$29.9$58.9+97%
2024$58.9$113.0+92%
2025$113.0$131.8+17%
2026 YTD$131.8$206.6+57%

ANET has the edge over AAOI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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