AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AMKR

Amkor Technology, Inc.

65
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

AMKR has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AMKR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

AMKR's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

AMKR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x66x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x66x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.9x$21.90-41%
Fair14x$35.76-3.7%
Forward14x$37.12—
Current15x$37.12—
Expensive25x$61.05+64%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AMKR's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AMKR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AMKR, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails AMKR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AMKR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$65.63
Downside-21%$29.39

Calculated from the latest close: $37.12 on Nov 12.

AMKR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

AMKR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.46Q1 2024: $1.52Q2 2024: $1.53Q3 2024: $1.48Q4 2024: $1.43Q1 2025: $1.28Q2 2025: $1.23Q3 2025: $1.25Q4 2025: $1.50Q1 2026: $1.74Q2 2026: $2.22Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.71
Q4 2023: $1.46Q1 2024: $1.52Q2 2024: $1.53Q3 2024: $1.48Q4 2024: $1.43Q1 2025: $1.28Q2 2025: $1.23Q3 2025: $1.25Q4 2025: $1.50Q1 2026: $1.74Q2 2026: $2.22Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.71+9.9%
Q3 2026$2.47+98%
Q2 2026$2.22+80%
Q1 2026$1.74+36%
Q4 2025$1.50+4.9%
Q3 2025$1.25-16%
Q2 2025$1.23-20%
Q1 2025$1.28-16%
Q4 2024$1.43-2.1%

AMKR has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over AMKR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AMKR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+0.2%
Q2 2026$1.9B+26%
Q1 2026$1.7B+27%
Q4 2025$1.9B+16%
Q3 2025$2B+6.7%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.4%
Q1 2025$1.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$1.6B-7%

AMKR's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $2B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

AMKR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $336MQ1 2024: $66MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: −$31MQ4 2024: $252MQ1 2025: −$56MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: −$78MQ4 2025: $212MQ1 2026: −$80MQ2 2026: −$227MQ3 2026: −$62M
Q4 2023: $336MQ1 2024: $66MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: −$31MQ4 2024: $252MQ1 2025: −$56MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: −$78MQ4 2025: $212MQ1 2026: −$80MQ2 2026: −$227MQ3 2026: −$62M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$61.6M+$16.3M
Q2 2026-$227.3M-302%
Q1 2026-$79.5M-$23.8M
Q4 2025$212.4M-16%
Q3 2025-$77.9M-$46.6M
Q2 2025$112.3M+92%
Q1 2025-$55.7M-184%
Q4 2024$251.9M-25%

AMKR has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

AMKR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 247MQ1 2024: 248MQ2 2024: 248MQ3 2024: 248MQ4 2024: 248MQ1 2025: 248MQ2 2025: 248MQ3 2025: 248MQ4 2025: 248MQ1 2026: 250MQ2 2026: 250MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 247MQ1 2024: 248MQ2 2024: 248MQ3 2024: 248MQ4 2024: 248MQ1 2025: 248MQ2 2025: 248MQ3 2025: 248MQ4 2025: 248MQ1 2026: 250MQ2 2026: 250MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-452K shares
1 year+0.5%+1.2M shares
3 years+1%+2.4M shares
5 years+1.5%+3.6M shares
Available history+3.9%+9.4M shares

AMKR has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AMKR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.0xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.0xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.0xVery low

AMKR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

AMKR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.0Neutral
Stochastic13.3Oversold

AMKR's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AMKR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAMKRSector medianRelative
PE15x28x46% below
PE %523517 pts above

AMKR is trading at 15x earnings, a 46% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

AMKR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$43.715% below
20 week MA$51.528% below
50 week MA$54.532% below
100 week MA$39.15.1% below
200 week MA$34.09.1% above

AMKR has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 9.1% above its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over AMKR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

AMKR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.3$15.0+13%
2021$15.0$23.1+54%
2022$23.1$24.5+5.9%
2023$24.5$33.3+36%
2024$33.3$26.1-22%
2025$26.1$40.6+56%
2026 YTD$40.6$37.1-8.5%

AMKR has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 8.5% so far in 2026.

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