AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ALKT
Alkami Technology, Inc.
ALKT has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ALKT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
ALKT's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
ALKT PE Valuation
ALKT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ALKT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ALKT, with profitability improving.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
ALKT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.03 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.34 | +$0.08 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.42 | -$0.05 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.47 | -$0.10 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.05 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.42 | +$0.06 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.18 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.24 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.41 | +$0.26 |
ALKT has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over ALKT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI has the edge over ALKT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ALKT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $134.9M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $129.8M | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $126.1M | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $120.8M | +35% |
| Q3 2025 | $113M | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $112.1M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $97.8M | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $89.7M | +26% |
ALKT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $135M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4.6% | +6.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | -5.9% | +8.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -4.5% | +11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -7.9% | +1.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | -11% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | -14% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | -16% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -9.6% | +8.7 points |
ALKT's operating margin was −4.6% last quarter, up 6.8 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
ALKT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.4M | -30% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.6M | +2747% |
| Q1 2026 | -$5.2M | +$962K |
| Q4 2025 | $16.2M | +173% |
| Q3 2025 | $30.5M | +186% |
| Q2 2025 | $760K | +518% |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.1M | -1053% |
| Q4 2024 | $6M | +$11.5M |
ALKT has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
ALKT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -235K shares |
| 1 year | +2.2% | +2.3M shares |
| 3 years | +13% | +12M shares |
| 5 years | +42% | +31.8M shares |
| Available history | +28% | +23.5M shares |
ALKT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $10M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $3,000 |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ALKT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -14.7x | Net Cash |
ALKT has more cash than debt.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
ALKT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.8 | Oversold |
ALKT's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ALKT PE vs Technology Sector
ALKT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.
ALKT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.9 | 0% above |
| 20 week MA | $17.1 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $17.7 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $22.6 | 38% below |
| 200 week MA | $22.9 | 39% below |
ALKT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over ALKT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ALKT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $42.1 | $19.7 | -53% |
| 2022 | $19.7 | $13.6 | -31% |
| 2023 | $13.6 | $24.3 | +78% |
| 2024 | $24.3 | $38.5 | +59% |
| 2025 | $38.5 | $23.1 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $23.1 | $13.9 | -40% |
ALKT has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 40% so far in 2026.