AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over ALIT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

ALIT

Alight, Inc.

37
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

ALIT offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ALIT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

ALIT's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ALIT PE Valuation

ALIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over ALIT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

ALIT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ALIT's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ALIT, with more potential upside for the same potential downside.

ALIT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+119%$27.46
Downside-55%$5.69

Calculated from the latest close: $12.52 on Nov 12.

ALIT trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside for the same potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI has the edge over ALIT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALIT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-14.00Q1 2024: $-15.40Q2 2024: $-11.80Q3 2024: $-12.60Q4 2024: $-5.80Q1 2025: $-2.60Q2 2025: $-44.00Q3 2025: $-81.60Q4 2025: $-117.40Q1 2026: $-117.20Q2 2026: $-76.98Q3 2026: $-38.51Forward: $3.79
Q4 2023: $-14.00Q1 2024: $-15.40Q2 2024: $-11.80Q3 2024: $-12.60Q4 2024: $-5.80Q1 2025: $-2.60Q2 2025: $-44.00Q3 2025: $-81.60Q4 2025: $-117.40Q1 2026: $-117.20Q2 2026: $-76.98Q3 2026: $-38.51Forward: $3.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.79—
Q3 2026-$38.51+$43.09
Q2 2026-$76.98-$32.98
Q1 2026-$117.20-$114.60
Q4 2025-$117.40-$111.60
Q3 2025-$81.60-$69.00
Q2 2025-$44.00-$32.20
Q1 2025-$2.60+$12.80
Q4 2024-$5.80+$8.20

ALIT lost $38.51 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over ALIT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ALIT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $538MQ3 2024: $555MQ4 2024: $680MQ1 2025: $548MQ2 2025: $528MQ3 2025: $533MQ4 2025: $653MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $511MQ3 2026: $500M
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: $559MQ2 2024: $538MQ3 2024: $555MQ4 2024: $680MQ1 2025: $548MQ2 2025: $528MQ3 2025: $533MQ4 2025: $653MQ1 2026: $534MQ2 2026: $511MQ3 2026: $500M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$500M-6.2%
Q2 2026$511M-3.2%
Q1 2026$534M-2.6%
Q4 2025$653M-4%
Q3 2025$533M-4%
Q2 2025$528M-1.9%
Q1 2025$548M-2%
Q4 2024$680M-29%

ALIT's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $500M last quarter, down 6.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

ALIT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: −$52MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $7M
Q4 2023: $102MQ1 2024: $64MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: −$52MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $58MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $99MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7M-86%
Q2 2026$48M-17%
Q1 2026$53M+20%
Q4 2025$99M+7.6%
Q3 2025$49M+$101M
Q2 2025$58M+115%
Q1 2025$44M-31%
Q4 2024$92M-9.8%

ALIT has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

ALIT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+70.7K shares
1 year+0.4%+92.9K shares
3 years+7.1%+1.8M shares
5 years+20%+4.5M shares
Available history+323%+20.2M shares

ALIT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ALIT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 12.5xQ2 2024: 16.3xQ3 2024: 15.6xQ4 2024: 8.1xQ1 2025: 7.5x
Q4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 12.5xQ2 2024: 16.3xQ3 2024: 15.6xQ4 2024: 8.1xQ1 2025: 7.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20257.5xHigh
Q4 20248.1xHigh
Q3 202415.6xHigh
Q2 202416.3xHigh
Q1 202412.5xHigh
Q4 202310.2xHigh
Q3 20237.0xHigh
Q2 20238.0xHigh

ALIT's net debt is about 7.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ALIT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.4Neutral
Stochastic33.2Neutral

ALIT's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALIT PE vs Technology Sector

ALIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

ALIT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.322% above
20 week MA$13.57.1% below
50 week MA$18.733% below
100 week MA$59.379% below
200 week MA$111.989% below

ALIT has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 89% below its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over ALIT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ALIT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$184.4$215.0+17%
2022$215.0$164.2-24%
2023$164.2$170.6+3.9%
2024$170.6$138.2-19%
2025$138.2$39.4-71%
2026 YTD$39.4$12.5-68%

ALIT has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

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