AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ALAB

Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock

81
Fundamentals89/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

ALAB has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ALAB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

ALAB's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ALAB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x147x220x293x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE73x147x220x293x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward33x$228—
Cheap72x$182-20%
Current91x$228—
Fair108x$272+19%
Expensive172x$431+89%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ALAB's PE is in its fair range at 91x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ALAB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ALAB, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails ALAB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ALAB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+141%$549.59
Downside-29%$161.16

Calculated from the latest close: $227.79 on Nov 12.

ALAB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

ALAB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.21Q1 2024: $-1.85Q2 2024: $-1.75Q3 2024: $-1.78Q4 2024: $-0.64Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.65Q3 2025: $2.20Q4 2025: $1.22Q1 2026: $1.48Q2 2026: $2.02Q3 2026: $2.51Forward: $6.88
Q4 2023: $-0.21Q1 2024: $-1.85Q2 2024: $-1.75Q3 2024: $-1.78Q4 2024: $-0.64Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.65Q3 2025: $2.20Q4 2025: $1.22Q1 2026: $1.48Q2 2026: $2.02Q3 2026: $2.51Forward: $6.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.88+174%
Q3 2026$2.51+14%
Q2 2026$2.02+22%
Q1 2026$1.48+13%
Q4 2025$1.22+$1.86
Q3 2025$2.20+$3.98
Q2 2025$1.65+$3.40
Q1 2025$1.31+$3.16
Q4 2024-$0.64-$0.43

ALAB has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $270M last quarter, up 127% from the same quarter a year ago.

ALAB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $113MQ4 2024: $141MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $192MQ3 2025: $231MQ4 2025: $271MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $392MQ3 2026: $585M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $77MQ3 2024: $113MQ4 2024: $141MQ1 2025: $159MQ2 2025: $192MQ3 2025: $231MQ4 2025: $271MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $392MQ3 2026: $585M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$584.9M+154%
Q2 2026$392.4M+104%
Q1 2026$308.4M+93%
Q4 2025$270.6M+92%
Q3 2025$230.6M+104%
Q2 2025$191.9M+150%
Q1 2025$159.4M+144%
Q4 2024$141.1M+179%

ALAB has the edge over AAOI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

ALAB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $228,000Q2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $133MQ3 2025: $66MQ4 2025: $77MQ1 2026: $67MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $134M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $228,000Q2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $133MQ3 2025: $66MQ4 2025: $77MQ1 2026: $67MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $134M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$133.9M+103%
Q2 2026$67.2M-50%
Q1 2026$67M+1023%
Q4 2025$76.6M+216%
Q3 2025$65.9M+41%
Q2 2025$133.3M+328%
Q1 2025$6M+2516%
Q4 2024$24.3M+81%

ALAB has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

ALAB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 153MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 157MQ4 2024: 131MQ1 2025: 178MQ2 2025: 178MQ3 2025: 181MQ4 2025: 180MQ1 2026: 181MQ2 2026: 183MQ3 2026: 184M
Q4 2023: 153MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 157MQ4 2024: 131MQ1 2025: 178MQ2 2025: 178MQ3 2025: 181MQ4 2025: 180MQ1 2026: 181MQ2 2026: 183MQ3 2026: 184M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+737K shares
1 year+1.9%+3.4M shares
3 years+21%+31.6M shares

ALAB has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ALAB Net Leverage

Q2 2025: -3.5xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q2 2025: -3.5xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.5xNet Cash

ALAB has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ALAB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic12.4Oversold

ALAB's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ALAB PE vs Technology Sector

MetricALABSector medianRelative
PE91x28x226% above
PE %331716 pts above

ALAB is trading at 91x earnings, a 226% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

ALAB has stronger trend alignment. AAOI is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus ALAB above 1 of 4.

ALAB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$284.720% below
20 week MA$306.926% below
50 week MA$241.45.6% below
100 week MA$182.725% above

ALAB has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 25% above its 100-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over ALAB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ALAB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$70.0$141.5+102%
2025$141.5$167.3+18%
2026 YTD$167.3$227.8+36%

ALAB has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's up 36% so far in 2026.

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