AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AIP

Arteris, Inc.

61
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

AIP has a slight edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AIP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Stable
Unavailable

AIP's revenue is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

AIP PE Valuation

AIP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 336x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AIP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AIP to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AIP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AIP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$31.79
Downside-36%$12.95

Calculated from the latest close: $20.19 on Nov 12.

AIP trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

AIP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.03Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-0.86Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-0.81Q3 2025: $-0.82Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.79Q2 2026: $-0.87Q3 2026: $-0.89Forward: $0.06
Q4 2023: $-1.03Q1 2024: $-1.02Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-0.86Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-0.81Q3 2025: $-0.82Q4 2025: $-0.82Q1 2026: $-0.79Q2 2026: $-0.87Q3 2026: $-0.89Forward: $0.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.06—
Q3 2026-$0.89-$0.07
Q2 2026-$0.87-$0.06
Q1 2026-$0.79+$0.02
Q4 2025-$0.82+$0.04
Q3 2025-$0.82+$0.13
Q2 2025-$0.81+$0.17
Q1 2025-$0.81+$0.21
Q4 2024-$0.86+$0.17

AIP has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over AIP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AIP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$25.8M+48%
Q2 2026$24.1M+46%
Q1 2026$22.9M+39%
Q4 2025$20.1M+30%
Q3 2025$17.4M+18%
Q2 2025$16.5M+13%
Q1 2025$16.5M+28%
Q4 2024$15.5M+24%

AIP's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $26M last quarter, up 48% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

AIP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $281,000Q2 2024: $264,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$2M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $281,000Q2 2024: $264,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2.1M-186%
Q2 2026$8.6M+$11.5M
Q1 2026-$7.4M-375%
Q4 2025$3M+$5.7M
Q3 2025$2.5M+126%
Q2 2025-$2.8M-1176%
Q1 2025$2.7M+853%
Q4 2024-$2.7M+$726K

AIP has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

AIP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 49M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 49M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4.5%+2.1M shares
1 year+16%+6.6M shares
3 years+37%+13.4M shares
5 years+107%+25.6M shares
Available history+183%+32M shares

AIP has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AIP Net Leverage

AIP's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

AIP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.8Neutral
Stochastic15.5Oversold

AIP's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AIP PE vs Technology Sector

AIP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

AIP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.72.5% below
20 week MA$24.919% below
50 week MA$23.615% below
100 week MA$16.621% above
200 week MA$11.673% above

AIP has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over AIP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

AIP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$22.4$20.9-6.4%
2022$20.9$4.29-80%
2023$4.29$5.89+37%
2024$5.89$10.3+74%
2025$10.3$15.9+55%
2026 YTD$15.9$20.2+27%

AIP has finished higher in three of the last five years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 27% so far in 2026.

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