AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
AAOI has the edge over AIOT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
AIOT
PowerFleet, Inc.
AIOT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AAOI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AIOT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
AIOT's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
AAOI PE Valuation
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
AIOT PE Valuation
AIOT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings.
AAOI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AIOT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect AIOT to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AAOI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.98 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | +$3.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.77 | +$2.81 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.65 | +$3.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.64 | +$3.86 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.44 | -$1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.58 | -$1.70 |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.08 | -$2.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.50 | -$2.75 |
AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.
AIOT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.07 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.15 | +$0.16 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.13 | +$0.17 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.15 | +$0.28 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.23 | +$0.66 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.31 | +$0.65 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.30 | +$0.78 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.43 | +$0.56 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.89 | -$0.56 |
AIOT has the edge over AAOI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AAOI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.9M | +127% |
| Q2 2026 | $191.9M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $151.1M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $134.3M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.6M | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $103M | +138% |
| Q1 2025 | $99.9M | +146% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.3M | +66% |
AAOI has the edge over AIOT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5% | +15 points |
| Q2 2026 | -13% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | -8.6% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | -8.6% | -2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | +45 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +44 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.5% | +1 points |
AAOI's operating margin was −0.5% last quarter, up 15 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
AIOT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $115.7M | +3.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $110.8M | +6.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $114.5M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $113.5M | +6.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $111.7M | +45% |
| Q2 2025 | $104.1M | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $103.6M | +207% |
| Q4 2024 | $106.4M | +208% |
AIOT's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $116M last quarter, up 3.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2% | -2.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.6% | +16 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.6% | +6.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.8% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | -2% | +22 points |
| Q1 2025 | -6.7% | +16 points |
| Q4 2024 | -1.2% | +10 points |
AIOT has the edge over AAOI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AAOI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$369.9M | -$291.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$265.3M | -$174.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$143.6M | -$64.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$104.6M | -$51.6M |
| Q3 2025 | -$78.7M | -$58M |
| Q2 2025 | -$91M | -$86M |
| Q1 2025 | -$79.3M | -$45.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$53M | -$48.4M |
AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.
AIOT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$11.3M | -1058% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6M | +$7M |
| Q1 2026 | $6.1M | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.9M | +$17.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2M | +$9.2M |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.4M | +$9.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $10.1M | +$11.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.2M | -423% |
AIOT has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AAOI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.7% | +6.3M shares |
| 1 year | +39% | +24.5M shares |
| 3 years | +168% | +55.1M shares |
| 5 years | +224% | +60.7M shares |
| Available history | +340% | +67.9M shares |
AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.
AIOT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +275K shares |
| 1 year | +0.6% | +768K shares |
| 3 years | +280% | +99M shares |
| 5 years | +363% | +105M shares |
AIOT has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q1 2020 | $232,000 |
| Q4 2019 | $26,000 |
AAOI Net Leverage
AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AIOT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 7.2x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.0x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 26.9x | High |
| Q3 2021 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
AIOT's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.2 years a year ago.
AAOI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.8 | Oversold |
AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).
AIOT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 21.5 | Neutral |
AIOT's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
AAOI PE vs Technology Sector
AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AIOT PE vs Technology Sector
AIOT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AAOI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $80.2 | 34% below |
| 20 week MA | $100.6 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $100.3 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.3 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.9 | 43% above |
AAOI has the edge over AIOT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
AIOT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.68 | 7.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $3.22 | 23% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.73 | 34% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.50 | 45% below |
| 200 week MA | $4.08 | 39% below |
AIOT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% below its 200-week average.
AAOI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.5 | $8.77 | -24% |
| 2021 | $8.77 | $5.64 | -36% |
| 2022 | $5.64 | $1.95 | -65% |
| 2023 | $1.95 | $19.3 | +891% |
| 2024 | $19.3 | $37.7 | +95% |
| 2025 | $37.7 | $37.2 | -1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $37.2 | $52.9 | +42% |
AAOI has the edge over AIOT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
AIOT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $6.11 | $7.47 | +22% |
| 2021 | $7.47 | $4.88 | -35% |
| 2022 | $4.88 | $2.38 | -51% |
| 2023 | $2.38 | $3.42 | +44% |
| 2024 | $3.42 | $6.80 | +99% |
| 2025 | $6.80 | $5.43 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.43 | $2.47 | -55% |
AIOT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 55% so far in 2026.