AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AEYE

AudioEye, Inc.

65
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

AEYE has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AEYE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Strong
Under pressure

AEYE's cash flow is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

AEYE PE Valuation

AEYE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AEYE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AEYE, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AEYE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AEYE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$25.11
Downside-43%$8.21

Calculated from the latest close: $14.30 on Nov 12.

AEYE trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

AEYE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.50Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.29Q3 2024: $-0.28Q4 2024: $-0.36Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.29Q4 2025: $-0.25Q1 2026: $-0.30Q2 2026: $-0.37Q3 2026: $-0.25Forward: $1.24
Q4 2023: $-0.50Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.29Q3 2024: $-0.28Q4 2024: $-0.36Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.29Q4 2025: $-0.25Q1 2026: $-0.30Q2 2026: $-0.37Q3 2026: $-0.25Forward: $1.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.24—
Q3 2026-$0.25+$0.04
Q2 2026-$0.37-$0.02
Q1 2026-$0.30+$0.11
Q4 2025-$0.25+$0.11
Q3 2025-$0.29-$0.01
Q2 2025-$0.35-$0.06
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.01
Q4 2024-$0.36+$0.14

AEYE is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.25 per share over the past year, against $1.40 at its worst in mid-2022.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over AEYE on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AEYE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $11MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11M+7.2%
Q2 2026$10.7M+8.7%
Q1 2026$10.6M+8.4%
Q4 2025$10.5M+7.9%
Q3 2025$10.2M+15%
Q2 2025$9.9M+16%
Q1 2025$9.7M+20%
Q4 2024$9.7M+24%

AEYE's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $11M last quarter, up 7.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

AEYE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $804,000Q1 2024: $146,000Q2 2024: $392,000Q3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $525,000Q1 2025: −$47,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $804,000Q1 2024: $146,000Q2 2024: $392,000Q3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $525,000Q1 2025: −$47,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.7M+67%
Q2 2026$1M-15%
Q1 2026$1.2M+$1.3M
Q4 2025$2.5M+377%
Q3 2025$1M-32%
Q2 2025$1.2M+205%
Q1 2025-$47K-132%
Q4 2024$525K-35%

AEYE has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

AEYE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 12MQ2 2024: 12MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 12MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 12MQ4 2025: 12MQ1 2026: 12MQ2 2026: 12MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+482K shares
1 year+4.5%+557K shares
3 years+11%+1.2M shares
5 years+45%+4M shares

AEYE has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AEYE Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 94.8xQ3 2025: 7.9xQ4 2025: 4.4xQ1 2026: 7.8xQ2 2026: 29.1xQ3 2026: 3.7x
Q2 2025: 94.8xQ3 2025: 7.9xQ4 2025: 4.4xQ1 2026: 7.8xQ2 2026: 29.1xQ3 2026: 3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.7xElevated
Q2 202629.1xHigh
Q1 20267.8xHigh
Q4 20254.4xHigh
Q3 20257.9xHigh
Q2 202594.8xHigh

AEYE's net debt is about 3.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.9 years a year ago.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

AEYE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI74.2Overbought
Stochastic84.2Overbought

AEYE's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AEYE PE vs Technology Sector

AEYE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

AEYE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.3952% above
20 week MA$7.9081% above
50 week MA$7.8981% above
100 week MA$10.635% above
200 week MA$11.030% above

AEYE has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over AEYE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

AEYE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.75$26.2+452%
2021$26.2$7.00-73%
2022$7.00$3.85-45%
2023$3.85$5.42+41%
2024$5.42$16.1+197%
2025$16.1$10.7-34%
2026 YTD$10.7$14.3+34%

AEYE's yearly returns have swung widely, from +452% in 2020 to −73% in 2021. It's up 34% so far in 2026.

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