AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ACN

Accenture plc

70
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

ACN has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ACN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ACN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ACN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x34x45x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x34x45x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$250—
Current18x$250—
Cheap21x$285+14%
Fair28x$381+52%
Expensive33x$447+79%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACN's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AAOI has the edge over ACN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ACN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ACN, with profitability holding steady.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ACN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ACN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$301.91
Downside-20%$199.90

Calculated from the latest close: $249.95 on Nov 12.

ACN trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

ACN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.79Q1 2024: $11.03Q2 2024: $10.92Q3 2024: $11.43Q4 2024: $11.92Q1 2025: $12.11Q2 2025: $12.56Q3 2025: $12.15Q4 2025: $12.10Q1 2026: $12.21Q2 2026: $12.52Q3 2026: $13.56Forward: $14.67
Q4 2023: $10.79Q1 2024: $11.03Q2 2024: $10.92Q3 2024: $11.43Q4 2024: $11.92Q1 2025: $12.11Q2 2025: $12.56Q3 2025: $12.15Q4 2025: $12.10Q1 2026: $12.21Q2 2026: $12.52Q3 2026: $13.56Forward: $14.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.67+8.2%
Q3 2026$13.56+12%
Q2 2026$12.52-0.3%
Q1 2026$12.21+0.8%
Q4 2025$12.10+1.5%
Q3 2025$12.15+6.3%
Q2 2025$12.56+15%
Q1 2025$12.11+9.8%
Q4 2024$11.92+10%

ACN has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over ACN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ACN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $16.2BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.5BQ3 2024: $16.4BQ4 2024: $17.7BQ1 2025: $16.7BQ2 2025: $17.7BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $18.7BQ1 2026: $18BQ2 2026: $18.7BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $16.2BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.5BQ3 2024: $16.4BQ4 2024: $17.7BQ1 2025: $16.7BQ2 2025: $17.7BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $18.7BQ1 2026: $18BQ2 2026: $18.7BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+6.2%
Q2 2026$18.7B+5.6%
Q1 2026$18B+8.3%
Q4 2025$18.7B+6%
Q3 2025$17.6B+7.3%
Q2 2025$17.7B+7.7%
Q1 2025$16.7B+5.4%
Q4 2024$17.7B+9%

ACN's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $18.7B last quarter, up 6.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

ACN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $430MQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $870MQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $3.8BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $2.8B
Q4 2023: $430MQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $3BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $870MQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: $3.8BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $3.7BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $2.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.8B-25%
Q2 2026$3.6B+2.4%
Q1 2026$3.7B+37%
Q4 2025$1.5B+73%
Q3 2025$3.8B+20%
Q2 2025$3.5B+16%
Q1 2025$2.7B+35%
Q4 2024$870.3M+103%

ACN has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

ACN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 637MQ1 2024: 637MQ2 2024: 636MQ3 2024: 634MQ4 2024: 635MQ1 2025: 634MQ2 2025: 630MQ3 2025: 629MQ4 2025: 626MQ1 2026: 623MQ2 2026: 616MQ3 2026: 605M
Q4 2023: 637MQ1 2024: 637MQ2 2024: 636MQ3 2024: 634MQ4 2024: 635MQ1 2025: 634MQ2 2025: 630MQ3 2025: 629MQ4 2025: 626MQ1 2026: 623MQ2 2026: 616MQ3 2026: 605M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-10.3M shares
1 year-3.8%-24.1M shares
3 years-5.3%-34M shares
5 years-6.2%-40M shares
Available history-6.8%-44.1M shares

ACN has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ACN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.4xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

ACN has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ACN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI67.6Neutral
Stochastic88.9Overbought

ACN's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ACN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricACNSector medianRelative
PE18x28x34% below
PE %103525 pts below

ACN is trading at 18x earnings, a 34% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

ACN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$229.09.2% above
20 week MA$192.030% above
50 week MA$204.922% above
100 week MA$250.40.2% below
200 week MA$285.412% below

ACN has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over ACN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ACN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$212.2$257.3+21%
2021$257.3$403.3+57%
2022$403.3$266.1-34%
2023$266.1$350.9+32%
2024$350.9$356.2+1.5%
2025$356.2$271.1-24%
2026 YTD$271.1$250.0-7.8%

ACN has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 7.8% so far in 2026.

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