AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ACMR

ACM Research, Inc.

66
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

ACMR has the edge over AAOI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ACMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Weak
Healthy

ACMR's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ACMR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x102x153x204x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x102x153x204x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$24.47-51%
Forward18x$49.88—
Fair26x$41.77-16%
Current31x$49.88—
Expensive74x$119+139%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACMR's PE is in its fair range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ACMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ACMR, with profitability improving.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI trails ACMR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ACMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+93%$96.09
Downside-30%$35.01

Calculated from the latest close: $49.88 on Nov 12.

ACMR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AAOI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

ACMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.16Q1 2024: $1.31Q2 2024: $1.25Q3 2024: $1.31Q4 2024: $1.53Q1 2025: $1.57Q2 2025: $1.66Q3 2025: $1.73Q4 2025: $1.37Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $1.60Forward: $2.80
Q4 2023: $1.16Q1 2024: $1.31Q2 2024: $1.25Q3 2024: $1.31Q4 2024: $1.53Q1 2025: $1.57Q2 2025: $1.66Q3 2025: $1.73Q4 2025: $1.37Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $1.60Forward: $2.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.80+75%
Q3 2026$1.60-7.5%
Q2 2026$2.10+27%
Q1 2026$1.31-17%
Q4 2025$1.37-10%
Q3 2025$1.73+32%
Q2 2025$1.66+33%
Q1 2025$1.57+20%
Q4 2024$1.53+32%

ACMR has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over ACMR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ACMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $170MQ1 2024: $152MQ2 2024: $202MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $172MQ2 2025: $215MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $244MQ1 2026: $231MQ2 2026: $293MQ3 2026: $368M
Q4 2023: $170MQ1 2024: $152MQ2 2024: $202MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $172MQ2 2025: $215MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $244MQ1 2026: $231MQ2 2026: $293MQ3 2026: $368M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$367.7M+37%
Q2 2026$292.9M+36%
Q1 2026$231.3M+34%
Q4 2025$244.4M+9.4%
Q3 2025$269.2M+32%
Q2 2025$215.4M+6.4%
Q1 2025$172.3M+13%
Q4 2024$223.5M+31%

ACMR's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $368M last quarter, up 37% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

ACMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$46MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: $48MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$60MQ3 2025: −$16MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: −$52MQ2 2026: −$71MQ3 2026: −$96M
Q4 2023: −$46MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: $48MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$60MQ3 2025: −$16MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: −$52MQ2 2026: −$71MQ3 2026: −$96M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$95.6M-$80M
Q2 2026-$71.5M-$11.8M
Q1 2026-$51.7M-$40.3M
Q4 2025$20.1M-74%
Q3 2025-$15.6M+$5M
Q2 2025-$59.6M-223%
Q1 2025-$11.4M+$23.6M
Q4 2024$77.2M+$122.7M

ACMR has the edge over AAOI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

ACMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 74M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 74M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.5%+1.8M shares
1 year+7.6%+5.2M shares
3 years+12%+8.2M shares
5 years+13%+8.2M shares
Available history+28%+16.2M shares

ACMR has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ACMR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -5.6xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -4.0xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -2.9x
Q4 2023: -0.9xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -5.6xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -4.0xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash

ACMR has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ACMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.7Neutral
Stochastic13.7Oversold

ACMR's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ACMR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricACMRSector medianRelative
PE31x28x12% above
PE %543519 pts above

ACMR is trading at 31x earnings, a 12% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

ACMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.516% below
20 week MA$72.831% below
50 week MA$64.222% below
100 week MA$45.410% above
200 week MA$31.558% above

ACMR has the edge over AAOI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over ACMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ACMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.13$23.2+279%
2021$23.2$25.9+11%
2022$25.9$7.52-71%
2023$7.52$19.5+160%
2024$19.5$15.2-22%
2025$15.2$40.6+167%
2026 YTD$40.6$49.9+23%

ACMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +279% in 2020 to −71% in 2022. It's up 23% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key