AAOI

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

AAOI has the edge over ACFN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ACFN

Acorn Energy, Inc.

52
Fundamentals26/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

ACFN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AAOI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

AAOI's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ACFN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Stable
Strong

ACFN's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its revenue is under pressure.

AAOI PE Valuation

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

ACFN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x94x140x187x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE47x94x140x187x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$5.98-61%
Current17x$15.25—
Fair36x$31.99+110%
Expensive61x$53.68+252%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ACFN's PE is in its cheap range at 17x.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect AAOI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ACFN Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for ACFN to show an outlook.

AAOI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+125%$118.71
Downside-55%$23.99

Calculated from the latest close: $52.85 on Nov 12.

AAOI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ACFN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ACFN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$21.45
Downside-41%$9.06

Calculated from the latest close: $15.25 on Nov 12.

ACFN trails AAOI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.88Q3 2024: $-2.03Q4 2024: $-4.50Q1 2025: $-4.08Q2 2025: $-3.58Q3 2025: $-3.44Q4 2025: $-0.64Q1 2026: $-0.65Q2 2026: $-0.77Q3 2026: $-0.42Forward: $2.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.98—
Q3 2026-$0.42+$3.02
Q2 2026-$0.77+$2.81
Q1 2026-$0.65+$3.43
Q4 2025-$0.64+$3.86
Q3 2025-$3.44-$1.41
Q2 2025-$3.58-$1.70
Q1 2025-$4.08-$2.29
Q4 2024-$4.50-$2.75

AAOI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.42 per share over the past year, against $4.50 at its worst in late 2024.

ACFN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $0.08Q2 2024: $0.19Q3 2024: $0.47Q4 2024: $2.51Q1 2025: $2.67Q2 2025: $2.84Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $0.99Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $0.61Q3 2026: $0.88
Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $0.08Q2 2024: $0.19Q3 2024: $0.47Q4 2024: $2.51Q1 2025: $2.67Q2 2025: $2.84Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $0.99Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $0.61Q3 2026: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.88-67%
Q2 2026$0.61-79%
Q1 2026$0.77-71%
Q4 2025$0.99-61%
Q3 2025$2.65+464%
Q2 2025$2.84+1395%
Q1 2025$2.67+3238%
Q4 2024$2.51+4920%

ACFN has the edge over AAOI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $100MQ1 2025: $100MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $119MQ4 2025: $134MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $270M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.9M+127%
Q2 2026$191.9M+86%
Q1 2026$151.1M+51%
Q4 2025$134.3M+34%
Q3 2025$118.6M+82%
Q2 2025$103M+138%
Q1 2025$99.9M+146%
Q4 2024$100.3M+66%

AAOI has the edge over ACFN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ACFN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.6M+4.6%
Q2 2026$2.5M-29%
Q1 2026$2.2M-28%
Q4 2025$2.4M-33%
Q3 2025$2.5M-19%
Q2 2025$3.5M+55%
Q1 2025$3.1M+45%
Q4 2024$3.5M+57%

ACFN's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $3M last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$34MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$53MQ1 2025: −$79MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$79MQ4 2025: −$105MQ1 2026: −$144MQ2 2026: −$265MQ3 2026: −$370M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$369.9M-$291.2M
Q2 2026-$265.3M-$174.4M
Q1 2026-$143.6M-$64.3M
Q4 2025-$104.6M-$51.6M
Q3 2025-$78.7M-$58M
Q2 2025-$91M-$86M
Q1 2025-$79.3M-$45.1M
Q4 2024-$53M-$48.4M

AAOI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$883M over the past year, against −$302M the year before.

ACFN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$294,000Q1 2024: −$43,000Q2 2024: $84,000Q3 2024: $698,000Q4 2024: $166,000Q1 2025: $271,000Q2 2025: $629,000Q3 2025: $895,000Q4 2025: $295,000Q1 2026: $53,000Q2 2026: $224,000Q3 2026: $999,000
Q4 2023: −$294,000Q1 2024: −$43,000Q2 2024: $84,000Q3 2024: $698,000Q4 2024: $166,000Q1 2025: $271,000Q2 2025: $629,000Q3 2025: $895,000Q4 2025: $295,000Q1 2026: $53,000Q2 2026: $224,000Q3 2026: $999,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$999K+12%
Q2 2026$224K-64%
Q1 2026$53K-80%
Q4 2025$295K+78%
Q3 2025$895K+28%
Q2 2025$629K+649%
Q1 2025$271K+$314K
Q4 2024$166K+$460K

ACFN has the edge over AAOI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AAOI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.7%+6.3M shares
1 year+39%+24.5M shares
3 years+168%+55.1M shares
5 years+224%+60.7M shares
Available history+340%+67.9M shares

AAOI has 88M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

ACFN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15K shares
1 year0%+1K shares
3 years+0.9%+23K shares
5 years+2.9%+72.9K shares

ACFN has the edge over AAOI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AAOI Net Leverage

AAOI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ACFN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -6.1xQ1 2024: -3.5xQ2 2024: -2.6xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -5.1x
Q4 2023: -6.1xQ1 2024: -3.5xQ2 2024: -2.6xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -5.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash

ACFN has more cash than debt.

AAOI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.8Oversold

AAOI's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ACFN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.7Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

ACFN's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

AAOI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ACFN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricACFNSector medianRelative
PE17x28x38% below
PE %29356 pts below

ACFN is trading at 17x earnings, a 38% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.234% below
20 week MA$100.647% below
50 week MA$100.347% below
100 week MA$62.315% below
200 week MA$36.943% above

AAOI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 43% above its 200-week average.

ACFN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.614% below
20 week MA$18.719% below
50 week MA$18.015% below
100 week MA$18.819% below
200 week MA$13.315% above

ACFN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 15% above its 200-week average.

AAOI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.5$8.77-24%
2021$8.77$5.64-36%
2022$5.64$1.95-65%
2023$1.95$19.3+891%
2024$19.3$37.7+95%
2025$37.7$37.2-1.5%
2026 YTD$37.2$52.9+42%

AAOI has the edge over ACFN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ACFN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.80$6.72+40%
2021$6.72$8.96+33%
2022$8.96$5.28-41%
2023$5.28$6.09+15%
2024$6.09$18.2+199%
2025$18.2$15.2-16%
2026 YTD$15.2$15.3+0.3%

ACFN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +199% in 2024 to −41% in 2022. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

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