AAMI

Acadian Asset Management

55
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation14/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

AAMI's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 28x earnings, more than twice its usual 10x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

AAMI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

AAMI's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AAMI.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

AAMI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.2x$10.93-89%
Fair10x$35.36-63%
Forward16x$95.12โ€”
Expensive19x$64.47-32%
Current28x$95.12โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AAMI's PE is in its expensive range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAMI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AAMI, with profitability improving.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CIFR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AAMI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$130.87
Downside-13%$83.15

Calculated from the latest close: $95.12 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAMI and CIFR's risk to reward.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AAMI and CIFR's risk to reward.

AAMI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $1.64Q2 2024: $1.66Q3 2024: $1.65Q4 2024: $2.22Q1 2025: $2.39Q2 2025: $2.38Q3 2025: $2.35Q4 2025: $2.21Q1 2026: $2.35Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $3.41Forward: $5.90
Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $1.64Q2 2024: $1.66Q3 2024: $1.65Q4 2024: $2.22Q1 2025: $2.39Q2 2025: $2.38Q3 2025: $2.35Q4 2025: $2.21Q1 2026: $2.35Q2 2026: $2.83Q3 2026: $3.41Forward: $5.90
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.90+73%
Q3 2026$3.41+45%
Q2 2026$2.83+19%
Q1 2026$2.35-1.7%
Q4 2025$2.21-0.5%
Q3 2025$2.35+42%
Q2 2025$2.38+43%
Q1 2025$2.39+46%
Q4 2024$2.22+43%

AAMI has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

AAMI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $131MQ1 2024: $106MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: $120MQ2 2025: $127MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $167MQ2 2026: $185MQ3 2026: $191M
Q4 2023: $131MQ1 2024: $106MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $168MQ1 2025: $120MQ2 2025: $127MQ3 2025: $144MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $167MQ2 2026: $185MQ3 2026: $191M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$191.2M+33%
Q2 2026$185.1M+45%
Q1 2026$167M+39%
Q4 2025$172.2M+2.6%
Q3 2025$144.2M+17%
Q2 2025$127.4M+17%
Q1 2025$119.9M+13%
Q4 2024$167.8M+28%

AAMI has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

AAMI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: โˆ’$40MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: โˆ’$19MQ1 2025: โˆ’$49MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: โˆ’$24MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: โˆ’$45MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $57M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: โˆ’$40MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: โˆ’$19MQ1 2025: โˆ’$49MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: โˆ’$24MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: โˆ’$45MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $57M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$57.3M+$81.2M
Q2 2026$26M-58%
Q1 2026-$44.9M+$3.9M
Q4 2025$8.7M+$27.8M
Q3 2025-$23.9M-134%
Q2 2025$61.6M+35%
Q1 2025-$48.8M-$8.4M
Q4 2024-$19.1M-145%

AAMI has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was โˆ’$3.1B over the past year, against โˆ’$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

AAMI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 36MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-124K shares
1 year-0.7%-247K shares
3 years-16%-7M shares
5 years-57%-47.6M shares
Available history-59%-50.3M shares

AAMI has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

AAMI Net Leverage

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

AAMI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.2Neutral
Stochastic51.9Neutral

AAMI's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AAMI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAAMISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %926329 pts above

AAMI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AAMI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$92.72.7% above
20 week MA$89.66.2% above
50 week MA$71.234% above
100 week MA$53.179% above
200 week MA$37.8152% above

AAMI has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

AAMI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$19.0+88%
2021$19.0$25.7+35%
2022$25.7$19.3-25%
2023$19.3$19.2-0.8%
2024$19.2$26.9+40%
2025$26.9$48.4+80%
2026 YTD$48.4$95.1+97%

AAMI has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to โˆ’90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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